- The San Diego State Aztecs are a -2.5 point favorite vs. the James Madison Dukes
- James Madison vs. San Diego State Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: CW
James Madison (2-0) visit Snapdragon Stadium to take on San Diego State (1-1) on Sep. 19 in San Diego, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm.
The San Diego State Aztecs are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-108).
The James Madison vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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James Madison vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| James Madison | +2.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +110 |
| San Diego State | -2.5 -108 | 46.5 -108 | -130 |
James Madison vs San Diego State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 51.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the James Madison Dukes and the San Diego State Aztecs, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
James Madison vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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James Madison Best Bets Today
- James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- James Madison have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- James Madison has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
San Diego State Best Bets Today
- San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+7.20 Units / 56% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record
James Madison Dukes is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- James Madison is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 46.51% ROI
- James Madison is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- James Madison is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State Aztecs is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- San Diego State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- San Diego State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- San Diego State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
James Madison was 4-2 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429
James Madison was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
James Madison was 4-2 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
James Madison was 10-2 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .604
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
San Diego State was 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .460
San Diego State was 2-9 (.182) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .420
Matchup Notes for James Madison vs. San Diego State
San Diego State’s QBs threw for 2,050 passing yards in 13 games (just 157.7 YPG) last season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. James Madison’s defense allowed just 181.6 passing yards per game last season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense allowed just 6.2 RAC to RBs last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s offense threw for 2,050 passing yards in 13 games (just 157.7 YPG) last season — 13th-worst among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed just 181.6 passing yards per game last season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 385 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 385 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — best among Pac-12 defenses.
James Madison’s WRs gained 2,117 yards on 142 receptions (14.9 YPR) last season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends
James Madison RBs averaged 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (863 yards / 100 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
James Madison’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 385 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 385 attempts last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — best among Pac-12 defenses.
James Madison RBs averaged 8.2 Yards per Carry (742 yards/91 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
James Madison’s WRs gained 2,117 yards on 142 receptions (14.9 YPR) last season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State threw 0 TDs on 55 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9
San Diego State WRs had just one touchdown on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
San Diego State threw 0 TDs on 21 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.8
San Diego State gained 40+ yards on 13 of their 166 receptions (8%) last season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
San Diego State’s QBs threw for 2,050 passing yards in 13 games (just 157.7 YPG) last season — 16th-worst among FBS teams. James Madison’s defense allowed just 181.6 passing yards per game last season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends
James Madison did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
James Madison allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (214 completions/417 attempts) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
James Madison allowed 266.6 yards from scrimmage per game last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 383.0
James Madison allowed opponents to catch just 214 of 414 passes (52% Reception Pct) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
James Madison allowed opponents to catch just 214 of 414 passes (52% Reception Pct) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State allowed 9 rushing TDs on 458 carries (50.9 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.1
San Diego State allowed just 9.6 yards per completion (2,134 yards/223 completions) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8
San Diego State allowed a Completion Pct of 75% (21 completions/28 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
San Diego State forced 4 fumbles on 509 carries (127.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
San Diego State allowed opponents to catch 21 of 28 passes (75% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
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