- The Kennesaw State Owls are a -3 point favorite vs. the Missouri State Bears
- Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSN
Kennesaw State (1-4) visit Robert W. Plaster Stadium to take on Missouri State (1-4) on Oct. 14 in Springfield, MO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Kennesaw State Owls are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3 (-108).
The Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kennesaw State | -3 -108 | 50.5 +115 | -145 |
| Missouri State | +3 -125 | 50.5 -150 | +120 |
Kennesaw State vs Missouri State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kennesaw State will win this game with 52.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kennesaw State Owls and the Missouri State Bears, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kennesaw State vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kennesaw State will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kennesaw State Best Bets Today
- Kennesaw State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kennesaw State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kennesaw State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kennesaw State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+2.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- Kennesaw State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
Missouri State Best Bets Today
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Kennesaw State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kennesaw State Owls is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
- Kennesaw State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -16.49% ROI
- Kennesaw State is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
- Kennesaw State is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
Missouri State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri State Bears is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Missouri State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -11.22% ROI
- Missouri State is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Missouri State is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Kennesaw State: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri State
Kennesaw State was winless (0-8) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Kennesaw State was 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Kennesaw State was 1-7 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Kennesaw State was winless (0-1) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .533
Missouri State: Keys to the Game vs. Kennesaw State
Missouri State was winless (0-1) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Missouri State was winless (0-1) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Missouri State was winless (0-1) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424
Missouri State was winless (0-1) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385
Matchup Notes for Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State
Missouri State’s WRs have 190.7 receiving yards per game since the 2024 season — 30th-best among FBS WRs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 170.8 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2024 season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri State’s QBs has rushed for 176 yards on 166 carries (just 1.1 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-11th-worst among FBS teams. Kennesaw State’s defense have allowed 4.6 YPC since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State’s WRs gained 2,681 yards on 186 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Missouri State’s defense allowed just 12.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State has 526 receptions in 31 games (just 17.0 per game) since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Missouri State’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Kennesaw State’s RBs has rushed for 3,105 yards on 701 carries (just 4.4 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-7th-worst among FBS RBs. Missouri State’s defense have allowed 5.3 YPC to RBs since the 2024 season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kennesaw State WRs averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (3 yards/1 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5
Kennesaw State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (156 Rec/6 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Kennesaw State RBs averaged 8.1 Yards per Carry (114 yards/14 carries) in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Kennesaw State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 38.0 receptions (76 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.3
Kennesaw State have averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (111 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.0
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends
Missouri State TEs averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
Missouri State RBs averaged -1.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (-3 yards / 3 touches) on 3rd down last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Missouri State Skill Players averaged just -2.0 yards per reception (-4 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Missouri State RBs averaged 1.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (10 yards / 6 touches) in the 1st half last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Missouri State RBs averaged just 1.6 Yards per Carry (8 yards/5 carries) in the 1st half last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Kennesaw State Defensive Stats & Trends
Kennesaw State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 7 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Kennesaw State allowed just 8.1 yards per completion (242 yards/30 completions) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.2
Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (30 completions/38 attempts) in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Kennesaw State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 7 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (3 completions/3 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends
Missouri State tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 6 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
Missouri State allowed opponents to catch 4 of 4 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long last season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
Missouri State allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (20 completions/25 attempts) in the 1st half last season– worst in FBS; Average: 62%
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