Kent State vs Bowling Green Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 09, 2022, 8:05 PM
  • Kent State (3-6) are -4.5 point favorites vs Bowling Green (5-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
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The Kent State Golden Flashes (4-7) visit Doyt L. Perry Stadium to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (6-5) on Nov. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Bowling Green.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Kent State vs. Bowling Green is total points.

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Kent State vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kent State
Bowling Green

Kent State vs Bowling Green Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kent State will win this game with 54.6% confidence.

Kent State vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and Bowling Green, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Kent State have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+10.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+10.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kent State is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -26.42% ROI
  • Kent State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Kent State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Bowling Green has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Bowling Green is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 51.14% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Bowling Green is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green

Kent State is 7-2 (.778) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .493

Matchup Notes for Kent State vs. Bowling Green

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State Kickers have averaged 48.1 yards per kickoff (6,209 yards/129 kickoffs) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.4

Kent State RBs have been targeted 1.6 times per game (35/22) since last season– 3rd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Kent State RBs have averaged just 0 yards per target (0 yards/7 targets) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.9

Kent State RBs have been targeted 0.7 times per game (16/22) in the 2nd half since last season– tied for 5th lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Kent State RBs have averaged just 1.0 receptions per game (23/22) since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 186 carries (93 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2

Bowling Green RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 40 carries (20 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Bowling Green WRs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Bowling Green RBs have rushed for 8 TDs on 88 carries (11 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Bowling Green Skill Players have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Kent State Golden Flashes Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State has allowed a passer rating of 162.6 (258.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 131.1

Kent State has allowed a Completion Pct of 83% (24 completions/29 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

Kent State has allowed a passer rating of 162.6 (258.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 135.4

Kent State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 5 of 91 attempts (6%) on 3rd and long since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Kent State has allowed first downs on 79% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 52%

Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends

Bowling Green has no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.7

Bowling Green has no interceptions (51 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 33.3

Bowling Green has no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 9.3

Bowling Green has sacked opponents 15 times on 1st down this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Bowling Green has sacked opponents 15 times on 1st down this season– most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.