- The Bowling are a -5.5 point favorite vs. the Kent State Golden Flashes
- Kent State vs. Bowling Green Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
Kent State (3-6) visit Doyt L. Perry Stadium to take on Bowling Green (2-7) on Nov. 10 in Bowling Green, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Bowling are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The Kent State vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Kent State vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kent State | +5.5 -125 | 45.5 -150 | +165 |
| Bowling Green | -5.5 -105 | 45.5 +115 | -200 |
Kent State vs Bowling Green Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kent State Golden Flashes and the Bowling, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kent State vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kent State will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kent State Best Bets Today
- Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.46 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+2.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Bowling Green Best Bets Today
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.20 Units / 92% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kent State Golden Flashes is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.37 Units / -13.99% ROI).
- Kent State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -22.31% ROI
- Kent State is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.63 Units / 6.38% ROI
- Kent State is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.11% ROI
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.18% ROI).
- Bowling Green is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -30.86% ROI
- Bowling Green is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.33% ROI
- Bowling Green is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.62 Units / -36.49% ROI
Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green
Kent State was winless (0-12) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
Kent State was winless (0-9) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Kent State was winless (0-12) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .422
Kent State was winless (0-11) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State
Bowling Green is winless (0-4) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
Bowling Green was winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314
Bowling Green is winless (0-4) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .464
Bowling Green is winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .408
Matchup Notes for Kent State vs. Bowling Green
Bowling Green’s RBs averaged 10.0 yards after the catch last season — 18th-best among FBS RBs. Kent State’s defense allowed 12.2 RAC last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — T-9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kent State gained 2,365 yards on 163 receptions (14.5 YPR) last season — 8th-best among FBS skill players. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kent State’s WRs gained 1,900 yards on 119 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kent State’s WRs has 328 receptions in 33 games (just 9.9 per game) since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kent State Skill Players averaged 24.1 yards per reception (313 yards/13 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
Kent State RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (1,648 yards/470 carries) since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Kent State WRs averaged 24.1 yards per reception (313 yards/13 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Kent State RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (603 yards/184 carries) this season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Kent State RBs averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (140 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green TEs averaged 9.8 receptions per game (128/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Bowling Green WRs have been targeted 9.7 times per game (194/20) since the 2024 season– 4th-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.3
Bowling Green TEs were targeted 176 times last season– most among FBS Teams
Bowling Green TEs were targeted 44 times on 3rd down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Bowling Green RBs have averaged just 2.2 Yards per Carry (103 yards/47 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Kent State Defensive Stats & Trends
Kent State allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Kent State allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Kent State allowed 240.9 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.3
Kent State allowed 264.9 rushing yards per game (3,179/12) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 151.7
Kent State allowed 18 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green has allowed 6.5 touchdowns per interception (13 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Bowling Green did not record a sack (28 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.8
Bowling Green has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (45 completions/62 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 55%
Bowling Green has allowed 6.5 touchdowns per interception (13 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.9
Bowling Green has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (45 completions/62 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
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