Miami Florida vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

Wake Forest head coach Jake Dickert argues for a penalty during the second half of the Duke's Mayo Bowl NCAA college football game against Mississippi State, Friday, Jan. 2, 2026, in Charlotte, N.C. (AP Photo/Scott Kinser)
(AP Photo/Scott Kinser)
Odds Boost This Weekend
  • The Miami (FL) Hurricanes are a -21 point favorite vs. the Wake Forest Demon Deacons
  • Miami Florida vs. Wake Forest Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Miami Florida (2-0) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on Wake Forest (2-0) on Sep. 18 in Winston Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -21 (-108).

The Miami Florida vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

Bet now on Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Miami Florida vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami Florida-21 -10855.5 -105-1600
Wake Forest +21 -11055.5 -112+1000

Miami Florida vs Wake Forest Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Miami (FL) will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami (FL) Hurricanes and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Miami Florida vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes and all games with BetMGM


  • Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+7.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+11.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)

Miami Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (FL) Hurricanes is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami Florida is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Miami Florida is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Miami Florida is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest Demon Deacons is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Wake Forest is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 5.49% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.09% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.18 Units / -100% ROI

Miami Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Miami (FL) was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Miami (FL) was 11-2 (.846) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .657

Miami (FL) was 4-2 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Florida

Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Matchup Notes for Miami Florida vs. Wake Forest

Wake Forest’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 405 attempts last season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs gained 2,377 yards on 152 receptions (15.6 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 12.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest gained 3,090 yards on 232 receptions (13.3 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among ACC skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s TEs gained 445 yards on 45 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) last season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL)’s TEs gained 445 yards on 45 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) last season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs gained 3,239 yards on 265 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) last season — 5th-worst among ACC WRs. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) threw for 6 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Offenses

Miami (FL)’s TEs gained 445 yards on 45 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) last season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Miami (FL) TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Miami (FL)’s TEs gained 445 yards on 45 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) last season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Miami (FL)’s WRs gained 3,239 yards on 265 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) last season — 5th-worst among ACC WRs. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 405 attempts last season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.3% of attempts last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs gained 2,377 yards on 152 receptions (15.6 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 12.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest gained 3,090 yards on 232 receptions (13.3 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among ACC skill players. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs gained 2,377 yards on 152 receptions (15.6 YPR) last season — T-9th-best among FBS WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest’s WRs gained 2,377 yards on 152 receptions (15.6 YPR) last season — T-9th-best among FBS WRs. Miami (FL)’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Miami Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) allowed opponents to catch just 20 of 53 passes (38% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Miami (FL) sacked opponents 50 times last season– most in FBS

Miami (FL) sacked opponents 19 times on 1st down last season– most in FBS

Miami (FL) tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 29 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Miami (FL) opponents averaged 39.9 Passing Attempts per TD (519 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) last season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 21.3

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest intercepted 4 of 457 attempts (114.2 pass attempts per int.) last season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8

Wake Forest allowed opponents to catch 320 of 445 passes (72% Reception Pct) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Wake Forest opponents averaged 38.1 Passing Attempts per TD (457 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) last season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: 21.3

Wake Forest intercepted 4 of 457 attempts (114.2 pass attempts per int.) last season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.8


Bet now on Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes and all games with BetMGM


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