- The Cincinnati Bearcats are a -14.5 point favorite vs. the Miami (OH) RedHawks
- Miami Ohio vs. Cincinnati Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Miami Ohio (1-1) visit TQL Stadium to take on Cincinnati (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Cincinnati, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Cincinnati Bearcats are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-108).
The Miami Ohio vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Miami Ohio vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Miami Ohio | +14.5 -110 | 49.5 -108 | +525 |
| Cincinnati | -14.5 -108 | 49.5 -110 | -700 |
Miami Ohio vs Cincinnati Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami (OH) RedHawks and the Cincinnati Bearcats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Miami Ohio vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 63.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Miami Ohio Best Bets Today
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Miami (OH) have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Miami (OH) has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+1.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Cincinnati Best Bets Today
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Miami Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Miami (OH) RedHawks is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Miami Ohio is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Miami Ohio is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Miami Ohio is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati Bearcats is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.09% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 35.97% ROI
- Cincinnati is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.02 Units / -0.94% ROI
- Cincinnati is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.39% ROI
Miami Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
Miami (OH) was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591
Miami (OH) was 9-1 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
Miami (OH) was 7-5 (.583) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Miami (OH) was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Miami Ohio
Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460
Cincinnati was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492
Cincinnati was 3-5 (.375) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Cincinnati was 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .418
Matchup Notes for Miami Ohio vs. Cincinnati
Cincinnati’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 364 attempts last season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts last season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s WRs had 14 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — 4th-most among Power 5 WRs. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 16 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — T-2nd-most among NonP5 defenses.
Cincinnati had 17 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — T-2nd-most among Big 12 skill players. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 16 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone last season — T-4th-most among FBS defenses.
Miami (OH) gained 2,622 yards on 183 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — 9th-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Miami (OH)’s WRs gained 2,349 yards on 152 receptions (15.5 YPR) last season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Miami (OH) has 215 receptions in 16 games (just 13.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Miami Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) gained 2,622 yards on 183 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — 9th-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Miami (OH)’s WRs gained 2,349 yards on 152 receptions (15.5 YPR) last season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Miami (OH) QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Miami (OH) completed passes for 20+ yards on 6 of their 15 total passing attempts (40%) last week– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%
Miami (OH) has 215 receptions in 16 games (just 13.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 364 attempts last season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Miami (OH)’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts last season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati RBs averaged 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (159 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Cincinnati RBs averaged 7.2 Yards per Carry (1,025 yards/143 carries) in the 1st half last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Cincinnati were sacked 8 times on 364 pass attempts (one sack every 45.5 pass attempts) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 15.7
Cincinnati were sacked 2 times on 82 pass attempts (one sack every 41.0 pass attempts) on 3rd down last season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10.9
Miami Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends
Miami (OH) opponents averaged 46.1 Passing Attempts per TD (461 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.6
Miami (OH) opponents averaged 46.1 Passing Attempts per TD (461 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3
Miami (OH) allowed 10 touchdowns on 268 completions (26.8 Completions Per TD) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Miami (OH) allowed 8 rushing TDs on 79 carries (9.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5
Miami (OH) allowed 10 touchdowns on 268 completions (26.8 Completions Per TD) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 12.5
Cincinnati Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati intercepted 2 of 388 attempts (194.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.8
Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.6
Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Cincinnati allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.8
Cincinnati intercepted 2 of 388 attempts (194.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 38.5
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