- The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are a -11.5 point favorite vs. the BYU
- Notre Dame vs. BYU Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
Notre Dame (6-0) visit LaVell Edwards Stadium to take on BYU (5-0) on Oct. 17 in Provo, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-108).
The Notre Dame vs. BYU Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Notre Dame vs. BYU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Notre Dame | -11.5 -108 | 47.5 -125 | -425 |
| BYU | +11.5 -120 | 47.5 -105 | +320 |
Notre Dame vs BYU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 69.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the BYU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Notre Dame vs BYU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Notre Dame will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Notre Dame Best Bets Today
- Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 2% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 40% ROI)
BYU Best Bets Today
- BYU has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- BYU have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- BYU has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- BYU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Notre Dame Fighting Irish is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Notre Dame is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 3.48% ROI
- Notre Dame is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI
- Notre Dame is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.45 Units / -36.84% ROI
BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
BYU is 5-0 against the spread this college football season (+5 Units / 88.81% ROI).
- BYU is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 21.28% ROI
- BYU is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.28 Units / -23.36% ROI
- BYU is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.49% ROI
Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. BYU
Notre Dame was undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
Notre Dame was undefeated (10-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Notre Dame was undefeated (11-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604
Notre Dame was 14-1 (.933) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .575
BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame
BYU is undefeated (12-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .591
BYU is undefeated (14-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .624
BYU is undefeated (17-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .702
BYU is 9-1 (.900) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490
Matchup Notes for Notre Dame vs. BYU
BYU has 551 receptions in 32 games (just 17.2 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 16.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU has averaged 12.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.9% of 931 attempts since the 2024 season — 24th-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Notre Dame’s RBs had 3 rushing touchdowns per game last season — 2nd-best among FBS RBs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 0.9 rushing touchdowns per game last season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Notre Dame’s RBs has averaged 9.5 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-12th-best among FBS RBs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.6 RAC since the 2024 season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame have thrown 6.0 Passing TDs per Interception (42 passing TDs/7 interceptions) since the 2024 season– T-6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.2
Notre Dame RBs rushed for 5 TDs last week– most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Notre Dame Skill Players have averaged 16.4 yards per reception (2,219 yards/135 catches) on 1st down since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4
Notre Dame RBs averaged 17.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (291 yards / 17 touches) on 2nd down last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
BYU Offensive Stats & Trends
BYU Skill Players have averaged 27.6 yards per reception (138 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
BYU Skill Players have averaged 27.6 yards per reception (138 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.8
BYU Skill Players had no touchdowns on 17 receptions in close and late situations last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.0
BYU WRs have averaged 27.6 yards per reception (138 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.7
BYU Skill Players have averaged 20.0 yards per reception (480 yards/24 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4
Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends
Notre Dame has allowed one rushing TD on 167 carries this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 25.7
Notre Dame has forced 10 fumbles this season– T-most in FBS
The Notre Dame defense has allowed scores on 13% of opponent drives (11/82) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 23%
The Notre Dame defense allowed scores on 7% of opponent drives (1/14) last week– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 25%
Notre Dame did not tackle opponents for a loss on any of 46 rushing attempts on 3rd and short last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
BYU Defensive Stats & Trends
BYU has allowed just 9.0 yards per completion (870 yards/97 completions) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11.4
BYU averaged 1.69 interceptions per game (22/13) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 0.94
BYU sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/408) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%
BYU allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 61 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
BYU has allowed first downs on 39% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 17%
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