- The Texas Tech Red Raiders are a -34.5 point favorite vs. the Sam Houston State Bearkats
- Sam Houston State vs. Texas Tech Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: TNT | tru
Sam Houston State (1-2) visit Galaxy Stadium to take on Texas Tech (3-0) on Sep. 26 in Lubbock, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -34.5 (-108).
The Sam Houston State vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Sam Houston State vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Sam Houston State | +34.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 | +4000 |
| Texas Tech | -34.5 -108 | 55.5 -108 | -20000 |
Sam Houston State vs Texas Tech Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Sam Houston State Bearkats and the Texas Tech Red Raiders, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Sam Houston State vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Sam Houston will cover the spread with 67.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Sam Houston State Best Bets Today
- Sam Houston has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Sam Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Sam Houston have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Texas Tech Best Bets Today
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+3.10 Units / 1% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Sam Houston State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sam Houston State Bearkats is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Sam Houston State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Sam Houston State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Sam Houston State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech Red Raiders is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 6.04% ROI
- Texas Tech is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Texas Tech is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Sam Houston State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Sam Houston is winless (0-4) when not forcing and recovering a fumble this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .484
Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
Sam Houston was 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Sam Houston State
Texas Tech is 10-1 (.909) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .651
Texas Tech is 7-2 (.778) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: .436
Texas Tech was 8-3 (.727) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Texas Tech is 7-2 (.778) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Matchup Notes for Sam Houston State vs. Texas Tech
Texas Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 484 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Sam Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.1% of attempts last season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s QBs threw for 3,899 passing yards in 14 games (278.5 YPG) last season — 16th-best among FBS teams. Sam Houston’s defense allowed 275.9 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 484 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Sam Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.1% of attempts last season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Sam Houston’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.0% of 388 attempts last season — T-9th-worst among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Sam Houston gained 2,209 yards on 213 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) last season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception last season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Sam Houston gained 2,209 yards on 213 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) last season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Sam Houston State Offensive Stats & Trends
Sam Houston’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.0% of 388 attempts last season — T-9th-worst among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Sam Houston gained 2,209 yards on 213 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) last season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception last season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Sam Houston RBs averaged just 3.1 Yards per Carry (667 yards/215 carries) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Sam Houston gained 2,209 yards on 213 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) last season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Sam Houston’s QBs threw for 2,209 passing yards in 12 games (just 184.1 YPG) last season — 28th-worst among FBS teams. Texas Tech’s defense allowed just 190.1 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech QBs have 24 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Texas Tech QBs had 24 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams
Texas Tech Skill Players have 1,377 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams
Texas Tech have 1,386 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Offenses
Texas Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 484 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Sam Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.1% of attempts last season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Sam Houston State Defensive Stats & Trends
Sam Houston opponents averaged 13.5 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 3.8
Sam Houston has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 56 of 371 attempts (15%) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 10%
Sam Houston has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 56 of 371 attempts (15%) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Sam Houston allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 5 of their 475 carries (1%) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4%
Sam Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (261 completions/371 attempts) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 62%
Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech has allowed just 2.2 Yards per Carry (954 yards/434 carries) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.1
Texas Tech opponents has averaged 43.9 Passing Attempts per TD (483 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 21.3
Texas Tech has forced 27 fumbles this season– most in FBS
Texas Tech has forced 27 fumbles this season– most among Power Conference Teams
Texas Tech has allowed 5.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (3,616 yards / 720 touches) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6.6
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