Stanford vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Wake Forest head coach Jake Dickert argues for a penalty during the second half of the Duke's Mayo Bowl NCAA college football game against Mississippi State, Friday, Jan. 2, 2026, in Charlotte, N.C. (AP Photo/Scott Kinser)
(AP Photo/Scott Kinser)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are a -12.5 point favorite vs. the Stanford Cardinal
  • Stanford vs. Wake Forest Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

Stanford (2-2) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on Wake Forest (3-1) on Oct. 3 in Winston Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-118).

The Stanford vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

Bet now on Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Stanford Cardinal & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Stanford vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+12.5 -11054.5 -125+400
Wake Forest -12.5 -11854.5 -105-525

Stanford vs Wake Forest Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this game with 75.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Stanford Cardinal and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Stanford vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 69.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Stanford Cardinal and all games with BetMGM


  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford Cardinal is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.49% ROI).

  • Stanford is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 7% ROI
  • Stanford is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Stanford is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wake Forest Demon Deacons is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -3.45% ROI).

  • Wake Forest is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 12.24% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.52% ROI
  • Wake Forest is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.18 Units / -4.11% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest

Stanford was winless (0-8) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Stanford was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Stanford was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Stanford was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

Wake Forest is undefeated (6-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .599

Wake Forest was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. Wake Forest

Wake Forest’s TEs had 33 receptions in 13 games (just 2.5 per game) last season — 2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Stanford’s defense allowed 24.5 receptions per game last season — T-2nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Wake Forest gained 3,090 yards on 232 receptions (13.3 YPR) last season — 21st-best among FBS skill players. Stanford’s defense allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Wake Forest gained 3,090 yards on 232 receptions (13.3 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among ACC skill players. Stanford’s defense allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Stanford has 534 receptions in 28 games (just 19.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among ACC skill players. Wake Forest’s defense has allowed 24.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — worst among P5 defenses.

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — best among ACC defenses.

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 184 carries (inf Carries Per TD) last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4

Stanford RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 25 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Stanford Skill Players have averaged 19.9 yards per reception (299 yards/15 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.6

Stanford RBs averaged 70.8 rushing yards per game (849/12) last season– 6th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Wake Forest’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest have averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (30 Rec/8 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.1

Wake Forest completed passes for 40+ yards on 2 of their 19 total passing attempts (10%) last week– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%

Wake Forest Skill Players averaged 24.1 yards per reception (193 yards/8 catches) in the 1st half last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.9

Wake Forest gained 40+ yards on 2 of their 12 receptions (17%) last week– 4th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Wake Forest threw 0 TDs on 65 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in close and late situations last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.8

Stanford Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford has intercepted 6 of 596 attempts (99.3 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Stanford allowed 7.3 touchdowns per interception (22 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

Stanford has averaged a sack every 37.8 pass attempts (151 Pass Attempts/4 Sacks) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.9

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends

Wake Forest has allowed a Completion Pct of 81% (117 completions/145 attempts) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Wake Forest has allowed a Completion Pct of 81% (117 completions/145 attempts) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to catch 117 of 143 passes (82% Reception Pct) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 62%

Wake Forest has intercepted 5 of 602 attempts (120.4 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to catch 117 of 143 passes (82% Reception Pct) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%


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