Temple vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

• The South Florida Bulls are a -6 point favorite vs. the Temple Owls
• Temple vs. South Florida Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPNU

Temple (1-3) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on South Florida (4-0) on Oct. 3 in Tampa, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.

The South Florida Bulls are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -6 (-120).

The Temple vs. South Florida Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Temple vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Temple vs South Florida Prediction:

The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 62.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Temple Owls and the South Florida Bulls, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Temple vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 60.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Temple Best Bets Today

• Temple has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Temple has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
• Temple has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Temple has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
• Temple have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)

South Florida Best Bets Today

• South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 1% ROI)
• South Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• South Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.25 Units / 3% ROI)
• South Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Temple Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Temple Owls is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

• Temple is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -20% ROI
• Temple is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.6% ROI
• Temple is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.25 Units / -5.62% ROI

South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Florida Bulls is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• South Florida is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 19.77% ROI
• South Florida is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
• South Florida is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Temple: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida

Temple was 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Temple was 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Temple is 4-10 (.286) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .482

Temple is 5-9 (.357) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .564

South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Temple

South Florida is 9-2 (.818) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

South Florida is undefeated (10-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2024 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .651

South Florida was 6-2 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .624

South Florida was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Matchup Notes for Temple vs. South Florida

South Florida’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 404 attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS offenses. Temple’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.3% of attempts last season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s WRs gained 3,037 yards on 212 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s WRs gained 3,037 yards on 212 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple’s QBs has thrown for 5,581 passing yards in 28 games (just 199.3 YPG) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. South Florida’s defense has allowed 252.7 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Temple’s QBs has thrown for 5,581 passing yards in 28 games (just 199.3 YPG) since the 2024 season — 33rd-worst among FBS teams. South Florida’s defense has allowed 252.7 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple’s WRs had just 125.5 receiving yards per game last season — 29th-worst among FBS WRs. South Florida’s defense allowed 242.8 receiving yards per game last season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple Offensive Stats & Trends

Temple have thrown 5 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.7

Temple have not been intercepted (102 pass attempts) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 31.8

Temple have 3 interceptions on 428 attempts (1 INT per 142.7 attempts) since the 2024 season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 41.1

Temple gained 40+ yards on 2 of their 11 receptions (18%) last week– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Temple completed passes for 40+ yards on 2 of their 20 total passing attempts (10%) last week– T-5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2%

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

South Florida’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 404 attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS offenses. Temple’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.3% of attempts last season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida have not been sacked (48 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 16.9

South Florida’s WRs gained 3,037 yards on 212 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida RBs have rushed for 228 yards in close and late situations this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

South Florida’s WRs gained 3,037 yards on 212 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple Defensive Stats & Trends

Temple did not record a sack (32 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.8

Temple has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (10 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%

Temple did not record a sack (32 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2

Temple tackled opponents for a loss on just 45 of 490 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Temple allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (8 completions/24 attempts) in close and late situations last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 60%

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

South Florida has allowed one rushing TD on 140 carries this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23.6

South Florida sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

South Florida has allowed one rushing TD on 140 carries this season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 26.9

South Florida tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 79 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

South Florida tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 79 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

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