- The Tennessee Volunteers are a -3 point favorite vs. the Texas A&M Aggies
- Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Tennessee (7-2) visit Kyle Field to take on Texas A&M (4-5) on Nov. 14 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 pm.
The Tennessee Volunteers are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3 (-102).
The Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Tennessee | -3 -102 | 42.5 -108 | -140 |
| Texas A&M | +3 -130 | 42.5 -125 | +115 |
Tennessee vs Texas A&M Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 53.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Tennessee Volunteers and the Texas A&M Aggies, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Tennessee Best Bets Today
- Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.68 Units / 0% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 53% ROI)
Texas A&M Best Bets Today
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+40.80 Units / 174% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.76 Units / 11% ROI)
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee Volunteers is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 6.6% ROI).
- Tennessee is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 26.06% ROI
- Tennessee is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.63 Units / -57.27% ROI
- Tennessee is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.14% ROI
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M Aggies is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.45 Units / -14.72% ROI).
- Texas A&M is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -40.98% ROI
- Texas A&M is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.55 Units / -36.04% ROI
- Texas A&M is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.14% ROI
Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .628
Tennessee was 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .668
Tennessee is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .427
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee
Texas A&M is undefeated (14-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .788
Texas A&M is 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception since the 2024 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .685
Texas A&M is 12-3 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .625
Texas A&M is 9-4 (.692) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .438
Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
Texas A&M’s QBs threw for 3,378 passing yards in 13 games (259.8 YPG) last season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. Tennessee’s defense allowed 244.8 passing yards per game last season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Tennessee’s defense allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Tennessee’s defense allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,807 passing yards in 13 games (292.8 YPG) last season — 6th-best among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 176.6 passing yards per game last season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s WRs gained 2,897 yards on 202 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,807 passing yards in 13 games (292.8 YPG) last season — 6th-best among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 176.6 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee TEs have averaged 20.2 yards per reception (101 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.0
Tennessee RBs have rushed for 9 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,807 passing yards in 13 games (292.8 YPG) last season — 6th-best among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 176.6 passing yards per game last season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Tennessee WRs averaged just 9.4 yards per reception (244 yards/26 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.5
Tennessee’s WRs gained 2,897 yards on 202 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M WRs have caught just 26 of 60 passes (43% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 63%
Texas A&M TEs averaged 17.8 yards per reception (71 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 9.7
Texas A&M threw 0 TDs on 43 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.7
Texas A&M Skill Players had no touchdowns on 25 receptions in close and late situations last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 12.6
Texas A&M WRs were targeted 11 times on 3rd down last week– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends
Tennessee opponents has averaged 67.5 Passing Attempts per TD (270 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 24.0
Tennessee has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (39/270) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
Tennessee opponents has averaged 67.5 Passing Attempts per TD (270 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in FBS; Average: 21.2
Tennessee opponents has averaged 67.5 Passing Attempts per TD (270 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.5
Tennessee has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (39/270) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7
Texas A&M did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
Texas A&M has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (4 completions/12 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season– best in the SEC; Average: 60%
Texas A&M has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (13 completions/35 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the SEC; Average: 58%
Texas A&M has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (180 completions/329 attempts) in the 1st half since the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 62%
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