Tulane vs Rice Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

The American Athletic Conference logo is etched on the field at M&T Bank Stadium before a NCAA college football game between Navy and Notre Dame, Saturday, Nov. 12, 2022, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
  • The Rice Owls are a -1.5 point favorite vs. the Tulane Green Wave
  • Tulane vs. Rice Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

Tulane (4-5) visit First Community Stadium to take on Rice (1-8) on Nov. 14 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00 pm.

The Rice Owls are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Tulane vs. Rice Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

Bet now on Rice Owls vs Tulane Green Wave & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Tulane vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tulane+1.5 -10847.5 -105+105
Rice -1.5 -12047.5 -125-125

Tulane vs Rice Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Rice will win this game with 58.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Tulane Green Wave and the Rice Owls, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tulane vs Rice Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rice will cover the spread with 57.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Rice Owls vs Tulane Green Wave and all games with BetMGM


  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.64 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+5.84 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.82 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane Green Wave is 3-6 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -35.71% ROI).

  • Tulane is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.44% ROI
  • Tulane is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.58 Units / 5.85% ROI
  • Tulane is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.18% ROI

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice Owls is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.46 Units / -14.81% ROI).

  • Rice is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -20.69% ROI
  • Rice is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.07% ROI
  • Rice is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.52 Units / -15.32% ROI

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

Tulane is 11-1 (.917) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .491

Tulane is 11-1 (.917) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .502

Tulane was 6-3 (.667) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Tulane was 8-1 (.889) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-11th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

Rice is winless (0-4) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .354

Rice is winless (0-8) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .408

Rice is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .332

Rice is 4-14 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .380

Matchup Notes for Tulane vs. Rice

Rice’s QBs threw for 1,261 passing yards in 13 games (just 97.0 YPG) last season — 2nd-worst among FBS teams. Tulane’s defense allowed 261.6 passing yards per game last season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice’s RBs averaged 18.6 yards after the catch last season — best among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense allowed just 6.0 RAC to RBs last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice’s TEs had 5 receptions in 12 games (just 0.4 per game) last season — T-worst among FBS TEs. Tulane’s defense allowed 23.1 receptions per game last season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Tulane gained 3,432 yards on 262 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane gained 3,432 yards on 262 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Tulane’s WRs had 206.0 receiving yards per game last season — 18th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense allowed 186.8 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane RBs have averaged 16.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (169 yards / 10 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Tulane RBs have averaged 10.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (214 yards / 21 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Tulane RBs have averaged 12.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (410 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Tulane RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams

Tulane WRs have averaged a touchdown every 27.5 receptions (110 Rec/4 TDs) this season– T-8th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice TEs have averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

Rice Skill Players have averaged just 6.2 receptions per game (56/9) this season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Rice have averaged just 6.4 receptions per game (58/9) this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.0

Rice has averaged 93.2 Passing Yards per game (839/9) this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.1*

Rice TEs have caught just 3 of 10 passes (30% Reception Pct) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 67%

Tulane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane did not record a sack (34 pass attempts) last week– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.0

Tulane’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs last season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Tulane did not record a sack (34 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 13.7

Tulane allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulane allowed 6 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-2nd-most in FBS

Rice Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice has allowed 7.0 touchdowns per interception (42 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.9

Rice has allowed 7.0 touchdowns per interception (42 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Rice has intercepted 6 of 642 attempts (107.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.7

Rice has intercepted 6 of 642 attempts (107.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 39.3

Rice allowed 8.3 touchdowns per interception (25 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9


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