- The East Carolina Pirates are a -11 point favorite vs. the Charlotte 49ers
- East Carolina vs. Charlotte Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
East Carolina (5-4) visit Jerry Richardson Stadium to take on Charlotte (1-8) on Nov. 14 in Charlotte, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm.
The East Carolina Pirates are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -11 (-118).
The East Carolina vs. Charlotte Over/Under is 44.5 total points.
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East Carolina vs. Charlotte Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| East Carolina | -11 -118 | 44.5 -102 | -450 |
| Charlotte | +11 -110 | 44.5 -118 | +360 |
East Carolina vs Charlotte Prediction:
The winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 80.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the East Carolina Pirates and the Charlotte 49ers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
East Carolina vs Charlotte Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Charlotte will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Charlotte 49ers vs East Carolina Pirates and all games with BetMGM
East Carolina Best Bets Today
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.37 Units / 5% ROI)
Charlotte Best Bets Today
- Charlotte has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Charlotte have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.58 Units / 26% ROI)
- Charlotte has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- Charlotte has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.48 Units / 11% ROI)
- Charlotte has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina Pirates is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.65 Units / 6.63% ROI).
- East Carolina is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.23 Units / -2.08% ROI
- East Carolina is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
- East Carolina is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Charlotte 49ers is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.48 Units / -14.98% ROI).
- Charlotte is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -61.7% ROI
- Charlotte is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.07% ROI
- Charlotte is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.52 Units / -15.32% ROI
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Charlotte
East Carolina is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553
East Carolina is 9-2 (.818) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .469
East Carolina was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429
East Carolina was 7-1 (.875) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Charlotte: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
Charlotte is winless (0-14) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .551
Charlotte is winless (0-15) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .416
Charlotte is winless (0-11) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Charlotte is winless (0-14) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .488
Matchup Notes for East Carolina vs. Charlotte
Charlotte’s RBs averaged just 4.7 yards after the catch last season — 3rd-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 4.7 RAC to RBs last season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Charlotte’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.
Charlotte’s RBs averaged just 4.7 yards after the catch last season — 3rd-worst among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense allowed just 9.2 RAC last season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Charlotte’s defense allowed 271.7 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
East Carolina’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense allowed just 5.7 RAC to RBs last season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Charlotte’s defense allowed 271.7 passing yards per game last season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina RBs averaged 23.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (258 yards / 11 touches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Charlotte’s defense allowed 271.7 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
East Carolina’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense allowed just 5.7 RAC to RBs last season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs threw for 3,528 passing yards in 13 games (271.4 YPG) last season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Charlotte’s defense allowed 271.7 passing yards per game last season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
Charlotte Offensive Stats & Trends
Charlotte RBs have averaged 10.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (163 yards / 15 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Charlotte WRs averaged 26.5 yards per reception (212 yards/8 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Charlotte WRs averaged 18.4 yards per reception (2,114 yards/115 catches) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Charlotte has scored on 14% of their drives (25/173) in the 1st half since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 27%
Charlotte WRs averaged 20.0 yards per reception (600 yards/30 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
East Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 174 of 798 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 30 of 114 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 30 of 114 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 174 of 798 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 15 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%.
Charlotte Defensive Stats & Trends
Charlotte has sacked opposing QBs just once on 78 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.4
Charlotte did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Charlotte has sacked opposing QBs just once on 78 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.6
Charlotte has allowed 72 TDs in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 2.0
The Charlotte defense has allowed scores on 33% of opponent drives (56/168) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 24%
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