Below, bettors can find my Week 10 anytime TD scorer predictions based on NFL odds.
First, I’m targeting a wide receiver playing in his most favorable matchup of the entire season. Additionally, I’m eyeing a surprising price in the Raiders vs Seahawks matchup.
Let’s dive into the predictions. Odds are reflective at time of writing and are subject to movement.
Best Anytime TD Scorer Predictions Today: Week 10
Titans vs Jaguars Prediction: Parker Washington Anytime TD (+120)
Washington ended a two-game scoreless streak with a 50+ yard touchdown against the Ravens. As much as I dislike the scoring method, the matchup is hard to ignore.
Jacksonville ranks fifth in pass offense DVOA for the entire season. Tennessee sits 32nd in pass defense DVOA entering the matchup.
Against a comparably good Bengals offense, the Titans defense surrendered 43 points (overtime included). Joe Burrow tossed five touchdown passes, including three to Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.
I dislike how the Jaguars have scored points this season, but this isn’t the spot to try and time the negative regression.
Through Week 9, the Jaguars offense managed only 23 red zone chances. Only six offenses have earned fewer red zone trips.
When they do reach the red zone, Washington eats up the targets. Amongst Jaguars skill players, he leads all players with 10 red-zone targets. Four came inside the 10-yard line.
The Titans have surrendered 31 red zone chances this season, but the defense is slowly playing worse. In their last four games, they’ve allowed at least four in every contest.
Of the 11 touchdowns Tennessee allowed through the air, seven went to receivers. It leads me to predict Washington scores for the second straight game.
Raiders vs Seahawks Prediction: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime TD (+105)
The only caveat I’ll add here: confirm Drew Lock is starting instead of Jalen Milroe. If the latter starts for Seattle, I want no part of this game.
Smith-Njigba has scored one touchdown per contest this season. He also finds himself in a potential buy-low spot against one of the league’s worst secondaries.
This season, Las Vegas surrendered 20 of 25 touchdowns through the air. It includes multiple passing touchdowns allowed in every game since Week 3.
Over that seven-game stretch, the Raiders allowed 3 or more passing touchdowns in three games. The defense also ranks 32nd in red zone chances allowed with 38.
Smith-Njigba cashed his anytime touchdown prop in six of nine games this season. It includes a three-touchdown showing in Arizona with Lock starting the contest.
The current NFL Offensive Player of the Year simultaneously dominates Seattle’s red-zone target share. This season, he notched 13 targets in the red zone, including seven inside the 10.
The next closest on Seattle are A.J. Barner (9, 4) and Cooper Kupp (5, 4). Add in Las Vegas ranks 28th in DVOA against WR1s, and I predict JSN finds the end zone.
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