- The Kennesaw State Owls are a -8.5 point favorite vs. the Sam Houston State Bearkats
- Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston State Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Kennesaw State (3-6) visit Elliott T. Bowers Stadium to take on Sam Houston State (1-8) on Nov. 14 in Huntsville, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00 pm.
The Kennesaw State Owls are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (+100).
The Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston State Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Kennesaw State | -8.5 +100 | 45.5 -110 | -285 |
| Sam Houston State | +8.5 -135 | 45.5 -120 | +230 |
Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kennesaw State will win this game with 63.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kennesaw State Owls and the Sam Houston State Bearkats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kennesaw State will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Kennesaw State Best Bets Today
- Kennesaw State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kennesaw State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kennesaw State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.48 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kennesaw State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Kennesaw State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
Sam Houston State Best Bets Today
- Sam Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.07 Units / 8% ROI)
- Sam Houston has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- Sam Houston have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Kennesaw State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kennesaw State Owls is 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.68 Units / 26.88% ROI).
- Kennesaw State is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -15.13% ROI
- Kennesaw State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.61 Units / -36.61% ROI
- Kennesaw State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.65 Units / 26.37% ROI
Sam Houston State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Sam Houston State Bearkats is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Sam Houston State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- Sam Houston State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- Sam Houston State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Kennesaw State: Keys to the Game vs. Sam Houston State
Kennesaw State was winless (0-8) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Kennesaw State was winless (0-8) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
Kennesaw State was 1-9 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
Kennesaw State was winless (0-1) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .533
Sam Houston State: Keys to the Game vs. Kennesaw State
Sam Houston is winless (0-16) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .537
Sam Houston is winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
Sam Houston is winless (0-10) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .442
Sam Houston is 1-8 (.111) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .580
Matchup Notes for Kennesaw State vs. Sam Houston State
Sam Houston’s offense has thrown for 6,559 passing yards in 34 games (just 192.9 YPG) since the 2024 season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 231.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Sam Houston’s TEs has 46 receptions in 33 games (just 1.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-4th-worst among FBS TEs. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Sam Houston’s QBs has thrown for 6,494 passing yards in 34 games (just 191.0 YPG) since the 2024 season — 22nd-worst among FBS teams. Kennesaw State’s defense has allowed 231.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State’s WRs gained 2,681 yards on 186 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Sam Houston’s defense allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State gained 3,395 yards on 259 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Sam Houston’s defense allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 421 attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS offenses. Sam Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.1% of attempts last season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Kennesaw State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kennesaw State RBs averaged 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (295 yards / 111 touches) on 2nd down last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Kennesaw State WRs averaged just 4.7 yards per reception (14 yards/3 catches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
Kennesaw State WRs averaged a touchdown every 49.5 receptions (99 Rec/2 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Kennesaw State RBs averaged 8.1 Yards per Carry (114 yards/14 carries) in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Kennesaw State completed passes for 20+ yards on just 0 of their 14 total passing attempts (0%) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%
Sam Houston State Offensive Stats & Trends
Sam Houston TEs have caught just 1 of 6 passes (17% Reception Pct) on 3rd down since the 2024 season– T-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61%
Sam Houston TEs had no touchdowns on 15 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6
Sam Houston TEs have no touchdowns on 31 receptions since the 2024 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.0
Sam Houston RBs have rushed for 3 TDs on 176 carries (58.7 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.7
Sam Houston has scored on 17% of their drives (25/147) this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 26%
Kennesaw State Defensive Stats & Trends
Kennesaw State tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 7 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (30 completions/38 attempts) in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Kennesaw State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 25% of PATs this season– T-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Kennesaw State allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (4 completions/4 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Sam Houston State Defensive Stats & Trends
Sam Houston has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 20 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%.
Sam Houston opponents averaged 13.5 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Sam Houston allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (24 completions/61 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Sam Houston opponents averaged 13.5 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 3.8
Sam Houston has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 54 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
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