- The Alabama Crimson Tide are a -15 point favorite vs. the Texas A&M Aggies
- Texas A&M vs. Alabama Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
Texas A&M (4-3) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on Alabama (5-2) on Oct. 24 in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -15 (+100).
The Texas A&M vs. Alabama Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Texas A&M vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas A&M | +15 -135 | 51.5 -135 | +475 |
| Alabama | -15 +100 | 51.5 +100 | -625 |
Texas A&M vs Alabama Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texas A&M Aggies and the Alabama Crimson Tide, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas A&M vs Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 69.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Texas A&M Best Bets Today
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+39.55 Units / 131% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Alabama Best Bets Today
- Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games (+1.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 14 games (+0.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+0.40 Units / 0% ROI)
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M Aggies is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Texas A&M is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -35.71% ROI
- Texas A&M is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.47 Units / -45.24% ROI
- Texas A&M is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.22% ROI
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama Crimson Tide is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Alabama is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.88% ROI
- Alabama is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Alabama is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
Texas A&M was 8-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .624
Texas A&M is 13-2 (.867) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– 10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .673
Texas A&M is 11-4 (.733) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .589
Texas A&M is 8-5 (.615) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .434
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
Alabama is undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .649
Alabama was 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602
Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Alabama is 12-1 (.923) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .708
Matchup Notes for Texas A&M vs. Alabama
Alabama’s QBs threw for 3,938 passing yards in 15 games (262.5 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 176.6 passing yards per game last season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama had 262.2 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-best among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 176.6 receiving yards per game last season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama’s offense threw for 3,953 passing yards in 15 games (263.5 YPG) last season — 29th-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 176.6 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 407 attempts last season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts last season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M TEs averaged 17.8 yards per reception (71 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 9.7
Texas A&M’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 407 attempts last season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts last season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Power 5 WRs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M WRs have been targeted 48 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among SEC Teams
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama QBs have 10 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
Alabama WRs averaged 29.0 yards per reception (348 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Alabama RBs have averaged 16.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (162 yards / 10 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.3
Alabama threw 7 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6
Alabama Skill Players averaged 20.7 yards per reception (497 yards/24 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) last week– best in the SEC; Average: 64%
Texas A&M has allowed a Completion Pct of just 20% (2 completions/10 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in the SEC; Average: 58%
Texas A&M has allowed a Completion Pct of just 20% (2 completions/10 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 60%
Texas A&M has allowed opponents to catch just 2 of 8 passes (25% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best in the SEC; Average: 59%
Texas A&M allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) last week– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama has allowed first downs on 8% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best in the SEC; Average: 21%
Alabama has not recorded a sack (18 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 8.5
Alabama allowed 10 rushing TDs on 487 carries (48.7 Carries Per TD) last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2
Alabama’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs last season– 3rd-highest in FBS; Average: 8%
Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 33 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 19%.
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