- The LSU Tigers are a -8 point favorite vs. the Texas A&M Aggies
- Texas A&M vs. LSU Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
Texas A&M (2-1) visit Tiger Stadium to take on LSU (2-1) on Sep. 26 in Baton Rouge, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The LSU Tigers are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -8 (-120).
The Texas A&M vs. LSU Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Texas A&M vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas A&M | +8 -108 | 53.5 -135 | +270 |
| LSU | -8 -120 | 53.5 +105 | -325 |
Texas A&M vs LSU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts LSU will win this game with 68.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texas A&M Aggies and the LSU Tigers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas A&M vs LSU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 63.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Texas A&M Best Bets Today
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+44.55 Units / 121% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.86 Units / 12% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
LSU Best Bets Today
- LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 1% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M Aggies is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Texas A&M is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -47.3% ROI
- Texas A&M is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Texas A&M is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
LSU Tigers is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- LSU is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -9.26% ROI
- LSU is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- LSU is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. LSU
Texas A&M is undefeated (8-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Texas A&M is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .640
Texas A&M is 10-1 (.909) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .606
Texas A&M is 4-2 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .426
LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
LSU was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668
LSU is undefeated (5-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .674
LSU was 6-2 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
LSU was 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Matchup Notes for Texas A&M vs. LSU
LSU’s WRs gained 2,021 yards on 185 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) last season — T-2nd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
LSU gained 2,910 yards on 278 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) last season — T-worst among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
LSU gained 2,910 yards on 278 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) last season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs gained 2,671 yards on 176 receptions (15.2 YPR) last season — best among SEC WRs. LSU’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M gained 3,378 yards on 248 receptions (13.6 YPR) last season — T-16th-best among FBS skill players. LSU’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M gained 3,378 yards on 248 receptions (13.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC skill players. LSU’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M TEs averaged 17.8 yards per reception (71 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 9.7
Texas A&M WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.7
Texas A&M WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5
Texas A&M Skill Players had no touchdowns on 25 receptions in close and late situations last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 12.6
Texas A&M WRs had no touchdowns on 28 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 11.6
LSU Offensive Stats & Trends
LSU’s WRs gained 2,021 yards on 185 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) last season — T-2nd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
LSU RBs averaged just 3.1 Yards per Carry (245 yards/79 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
LSU WRs have averaged just 10.9 yards per reception (2,021 yards/185 catches) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.3
LSU gained 2,910 yards on 278 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) last season — T-worst among SEC skill players. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
LSU RBs averaged 17.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (161 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 6.8
Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M has allowed 5.7 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6
Texas A&M has intercepted 3 of 379 attempts (126.3 pass attempts per int.) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 39.4
Texas A&M allowed 5.7 touchdowns per interception (17 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6
Texas A&M did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7
Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.
LSU Defensive Stats & Trends
LSU allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (8 completions/26 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
LSU allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (8 completions/26 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (5 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
LSU tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 55 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (5 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 63%
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