- The Oklahoma State Cowboys are a -3 point favorite vs. the Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Total (Over/Under): 72.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
Texas Tech (8-1) visit Boone Pickens Stadium to take on Oklahoma State (6-3) on Nov. 14 in Stillwater, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3 (-130).
The Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Over/Under is 72.5 total points.
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Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas Tech | +3 -102 | 72.5 -105 | +140 |
| Oklahoma State | -3 -130 | 72.5 -112 | -165 |
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oklahoma State will win this game with 56.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Oklahoma State Cowboys, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma State will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Texas Tech Red Raiders and all games with BetMGM
Texas Tech Best Bets Today
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 3% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Oklahoma State Best Bets Today
- Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+12.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech Red Raiders is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 3.22% ROI
- Texas Tech is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
- Texas Tech is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oklahoma State Cowboys is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.39% ROI).
- Oklahoma State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 27.14% ROI
- Oklahoma State is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.75 Units / 47.64% ROI
- Oklahoma State is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.68 Units / -57.78% ROI
Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State
Texas Tech is undefeated (12-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .722
Texas Tech is 6-1 (.857) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Texas Tech is 20-1 (.952) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691
Texas Tech is 19-1 (.950) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .642
Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech
Oklahoma State is 1-10 (.091) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2024 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Oklahoma State was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Oklahoma State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Oklahoma State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .479
Matchup Notes for Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.1% of 365 attempts last season — T-11th-worst among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts last season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Oklahoma State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.1% of 365 attempts last season — T-11th-worst among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.
Oklahoma State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.1% of 365 attempts last season — T-11th-worst among FBS offenses. Texas Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 484 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.7% of attempts last season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense threw for 3,899 passing yards in 14 games (278.5 YPG) last season — 17th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 252.0 passing yards per game last season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 484 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.7% of attempts last season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech gained 40+ yards on 3 of their 18 receptions (17%) last week– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
Texas Tech threw for 5 TDs last week– T-most among FBS Offenses
Texas Tech QBs had 24 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams
Texas Tech’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 484 attempts last season — T-17th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.7% of attempts last season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas Tech caught 5 touchdown passes last week– T-most among FBS Offenses
Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma State threw for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– 2nd-most among FBS Offenses
Oklahoma State have thrown for 20 TDs in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
Oklahoma State WRs averaged just 10.5 yards per reception (1,530 yards/146 catches) last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.3
Oklahoma State WRs have caught 14 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Oklahoma State TEs averaged just 3.0 yards per reception (3 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.4
Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas Tech allowed 27.5 yards per completion (303 yards/11 completions) last week– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Texas Tech allowed 27.5 yards per completion (303 yards/11 completions) last week– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 11.9
Texas Tech allowed 27.5 yards per completion (303 yards/11 completions) last week– worst in the Big 12; Average: 13.2
Texas Tech has sacked opponents 69 times since the 2024 season– most in the Big 12
Texas Tech allowed passes of 20+ yards on 6 of 16 attempts (38%) last week– worst in the Big 12; Average: 12%
Oklahoma State Defensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma State had no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 6.4
Oklahoma State allowed 500.6 yards from scrimmage per game last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 373.8
Oklahoma State forced 4 fumbles on 477 carries (119.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
Oklahoma State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 23 of 606 attempts (4%) since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
Oklahoma State has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (38 completions/54 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 53%
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