Wyoming vs UTEP Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

UTEP Football Fans
(AP Photo)
  • The Wyoming Cowboys are a -9.5 point favorite vs. the UTEP Miners
  • Wyoming vs. UTEP Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

Wyoming (6-3) visit Sun Bowl to take on UTEP (1-8) on Nov. 14 in El Paso, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm.

The Wyoming Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (+100).

The Wyoming vs. UTEP Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

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Wyoming vs. UTEP Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wyoming-9.5 +10043.5 -175-300
UTEP +9.5 -13543.5 +135+250

Wyoming vs UTEP Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Wyoming will win this game with 64.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wyoming Cowboys and the UTEP Miners, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Wyoming vs UTEP Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wyoming will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Wyoming has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.73 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Wyoming has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+0.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)

Wyoming Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wyoming Cowboys is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.58 Units / 5.82% ROI).

  • Wyoming is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 15.42% ROI
  • Wyoming is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.47 Units / -35.41% ROI
  • Wyoming is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.73 Units / 27.3% ROI

UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTEP Miners is 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.57 Units / -57.3% ROI).

  • UTEP is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -12.2% ROI
  • UTEP is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.52 Units / -35.85% ROI
  • UTEP is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.05% ROI

Wyoming: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP

Wyoming was winless (0-6) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Wyoming was 1-8 (.111) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Wyoming was 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Wyoming was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422

UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Wyoming

UTEP is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .491

UTEP is winless (0-11) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .485

UTEP is winless (0-15) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .432

UTEP is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: .502

Matchup Notes for Wyoming vs. UTEP

UTEP’s offense has thrown for 6,258 passing yards in 33 games (just 189.6 YPG) since the 2024 season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Wyoming’s defense has allowed just 191.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s QBs has thrown for 6,219 passing yards in 33 games (just 188.5 YPG) since the 2024 season — 20th-worst among FBS teams. Wyoming’s defense has allowed just 191.4 passing yards per game since the 2024 season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s WRs had 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-20th-best among FBS WRs. Wyoming’s defense allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s RBs averaged 10.4 yards after the catch last season — 14th-best among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense allowed 8.6 RAC to RBs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense has allowed 11.9 RAC since the 2024 season — T-34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s RBs gained 353 yards on 34 receptions (10.4 YPR) last season — T-14th-best among FBS RBs. UTEP’s defense allowed 8.6 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming Offensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming WRs have just one touchdown on 40 receptions this season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Wyoming WRs have been targeted 8.4 times per game (76/9) this season– 4th-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.2

Wyoming WRs have averaged just 4.4 receptions per game (40/9) this season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Wyoming WRs have averaged just 49.9 receiving yards per game (449/9) this season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 166.8

Wyoming QBs rushed for 61 yards in the 1st quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends

UTEP have been sacked on 21% of pass attempts (41/197) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

UTEP has scored on 15% of their drives (20/134) this season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 26%

UTEP RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 138 carries (69 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.7

UTEP has scored on 12% of their drives (8/66) in the 1st half this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 27%

UTEP RBs picked up first downs on 13 receptions on 3rd down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Wyoming Defensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (9 completions/32 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Wyoming allowed first downs on 19% of pass attempts on 3rd down last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 35%

Wyoming has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (5 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%

Wyoming sacked opposing QBs on 22% of pass attempts (5/23) last week– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

Wyoming allowed first downs on 19% of pass attempts on 3rd down last season– best in FBS; Average: 35%

UTEP Defensive Stats & Trends

UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.

UTEP has allowed 10.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (406 yards / 38 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.2

UTEP has sacked opposing QBs just once on 90 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.6

UTEP has sacked opposing QBs just once on 90 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.4

UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.


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