- The Utah Utes are a -28 point favorite vs. the Utah State Aggies
- Utah State vs. Utah Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Utah State (0-2) visit Rice-Eccles Stadium to take on Utah (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Salt Lake City, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.
The Utah Utes are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -28 (-105).
The Utah State vs. Utah Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Utah State vs. Utah Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Utah State | +28 -115 | 57.5 -112 | +2200 |
| Utah | -28 -105 | 57.5 -105 | -5000 |
Utah State vs Utah Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Utah State Aggies and the Utah Utes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Utah State vs Utah Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 65.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Utah State Best Bets Today
- Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Utah State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+1.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Utah Best Bets Today
- Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Utah has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- Utah has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Utah have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State Aggies is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Utah State is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Utah State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Utah State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah Utes is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Utah is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 18.87% ROI
- Utah is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Utah is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah
Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Utah State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
Utah State was 2-1 (.667) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Utah State was 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385
Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
Utah was 3-6 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Utah was 3-6 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Utah was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .476
Utah is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .785
Matchup Notes for Utah State vs. Utah
Utah’s TEs had 79 receptions in 13 games (6.1 per game) last season — T-4th-best among FBS TEs. Utah State’s defense allowed 21.7 receptions per game last season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah’s TEs had 79 receptions in 13 games (6.1 per game) last season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Utah State’s defense allowed 21.7 receptions per game last season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah’s WRs had just 102.7 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Utah State’s defense allowed 258.8 receiving yards per game last season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s WRs gained 1,843 yards on 113 receptions (16.3 YPR) last season — best among Pac-12 WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Utah State’s WRs gained 1,843 yards on 113 receptions (16.3 YPR) last season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.7% of 403 attempts last season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State RBs averaged just -0.8 Yards per Carry (-6 yards/8 carries) last week– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Utah State’s WRs gained 1,843 yards on 113 receptions (16.3 YPR) last season — best among Pac-12 WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Utah State’s WRs gained 1,843 yards on 113 receptions (16.3 YPR) last season — 5th-best among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.7% of 403 attempts last season — T-29th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Utah State gained 2,856 yards on 220 receptions (13.0 YPR) last season — best among Pac-12 skill players. Utah’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Utah Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among Big 12 Teams
Utah WRs averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (104 Rec/4 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.7
Utah Skill Players averaged 32.3 yards per reception (97 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3
Utah Skill Players averaged 32.3 yards per reception (97 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.8
Utah TEs had 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State allowed 20 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State allowed 20 first down receptions in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS
Utah State had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5
Utah State allowed 19 TD passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State had no interceptions and 19 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.4
Utah Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah allowed opponents to catch just 190 of 384 passes (49% Reception Pct) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%
Utah allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (190 completions/381 attempts) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Utah allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (92 completions/193 attempts) in the 1st half last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 62%
Utah allowed opponents to catch just 190 of 384 passes (49% Reception Pct) last season– best in FBS; Average: 62%
Utah allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (190 completions/381 attempts) last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 60%
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