UTSA vs Rice Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

The American Athletic Conference logo is etched on the field at M&T Bank Stadium before a NCAA college football game between Navy and Notre Dame, Saturday, Nov. 12, 2022, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
Odds Boost This Weekend
  • The UT San Antonio Roadrunners are a -10.5 point favorite vs. the Rice Owls
  • UTSA vs. Rice Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

UTSA (3-1) visit Rice Stadium to take on Rice (1-3) on Oct. 3 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The UT San Antonio Roadrunners are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-125).

The UTSA vs. Rice Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

Bet now on Rice Owls vs UT San Antonio Roadrunners & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UTSA vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTSA-10.5 -12554.5 +105-450
Rice +10.5 -10854.5 -135+350

UTSA vs Rice Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 69.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the UT San Antonio Roadrunners and the Rice Owls, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UTSA vs Rice Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Rice Owls vs UT San Antonio Roadrunners and all games with BetMGM


  • UTSA has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UTSA have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UT San Antonio Roadrunners is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.98% ROI).

  • UTSA is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 3.85% ROI
  • UTSA is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.57% ROI
  • UTSA is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.22 Units / -4.98% ROI

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice Owls is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Rice is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -4.17% ROI
  • Rice is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Rice is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

UTSA is 9-1 (.900) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .683

UTSA is 3-5 (.375) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .564

UTSA was undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .613

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

Rice is 5-11 (.312) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2024 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .482

Rice is 5-10 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .463

Rice was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Rice is 4-8 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Rice

Rice has averaged just 9.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — worst among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice had just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice’s WRs has averaged just 9.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — worst among FBS WRs. UTSA’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s WRs has 434 receptions in 30 games (14.5 per game) since the 2024 season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA has 701 receptions in 30 games (23.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 12th-best among FBS skill players. Rice’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s TEs has 170 receptions in 30 games (5.7 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS TEs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 2.4 receptions per game to TEs since the 2024 season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA have thrown 11 TDs and just one interception in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.7

UTSA TEs had 35 receptions on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams

UTSA RBs have averaged 9.2 Yards per Carry (259 yards/28 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

UTSA TEs were targeted 52 times on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams

UTSA have averaged 17.7 yards per completion (177 yards/10 completions) on 3rd down this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.1

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice WRs have averaged just 8.4 yards per reception (1,402 yards/166 catches) since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Rice have been targeted 16.5 times per game (280/17) since the 2024 season– 4th-lowest among FBS Offenses; Average: 30.1

Rice WRs have averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (819 yards/94 catches) with 7-10 yards to go since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6

Rice TEs have caught just 5 of 13 passes (39% Reception Pct) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 66%

Rice QBs have averaged 94.1 Passing Yards per game (1,600/17) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 225.4

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Rice Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice has allowed 8.2 touchdowns per interception (33 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Rice allowed 8.3 touchdowns per interception (25 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Rice has allowed 8.2 touchdowns per interception (33 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Rice has intercepted 4 of 484 attempts (121.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.2

Rice intercepted 3 of 375 attempts (125.0 pass attempts per int.) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5


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