UTSA vs Tulane Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

• The UT San Antonio Roadrunners are a -4 point favorite vs. the Tulane Green Wave
• UTSA vs. Tulane Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPNU

UTSA (6-1) visit Yulman Stadium to take on Tulane (3-3) on Oct. 24 in New Orleans, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm.

The UT San Antonio Roadrunners are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -4 (+115).

The UTSA vs. Tulane Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on Tulane Green Wave vs UT San Antonio Roadrunners & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

UTSA vs. Tulane Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

UTSA vs Tulane Prediction:

The winning team model predicts UTSA will win this game with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the UT San Antonio Roadrunners and the Tulane Green Wave, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UTSA vs Tulane Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Tulane Green Wave vs UT San Antonio Roadrunners and all games with BetMGM

UTSA Best Bets Today

• UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.85 Units / 7% ROI)
• UTSA has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
• UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• UTSA have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Tulane Best Bets Today

• Tulane has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+6.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• Tulane has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.27 Units / 15% ROI)

UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UT San Antonio Roadrunners is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.19% ROI).

• UTSA is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 8.05% ROI
• UTSA is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.11% ROI
• UTSA is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.42 Units / -18.39% ROI

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane Green Wave is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Tulane is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 6.29% ROI
• Tulane is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.42 Units / -36.56% ROI
• Tulane is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.36% ROI

UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

UTSA is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .542

UTSA is 10-6 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .396

UTSA is 13-4 (.765) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .652

UTSA was 1-2 (.333) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA

Tulane is undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .646

Tulane was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Tulane is 12-4 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .620

Tulane was 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Tulane

Tulane gained 3,432 yards on 262 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. UTSA’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-14th-best among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.

UTSA’s RBs rushed for 2,176 yards on 349 carries (6.2 YPC) last season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense allowed just 4.5 YPC to RBs last season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

UTSA had 299 receptions in 13 games (23.0 per game) last season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense allowed 23.1 receptions per game last season — 2nd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

UTSA’s WRs had 189 receptions in 13 games (14.5 per game) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense allowed 23.1 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends

UTSA have thrown 12 TDs and just one interception in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.7

UTSA TEs were targeted 52 times on 3rd down last season– most among FBS Teams

UTSA have thrown 5.0 Passing TDs per Interception (45 passing TDs/9 interceptions) since the 2024 season– 7th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.2

UTSA QBs had 6 completions for 20 or more yards last week– T-4th-most among FBS Teams

UTSA TEs had 16 receptions in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane RBs have averaged 13.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (317 yards / 23 touches) on 3rd down this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Tulane RBs have averaged 18.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (164 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Tulane RBs have averaged 10.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (209 yards / 20 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Tulane RBs have averaged 9.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (528 yards / 55 touches) on 3rd down since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Tulane gained 3,432 yards on 262 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. UTSA’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 63 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

UTSA tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 420 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (10 completions/25 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 57%

Tulane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane forced 6 fumbles last week– most in FBS

Tulane’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs last season– highest in FBS; Average: 8%

Tulane forced 6 fumbles last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulane’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 19% of PATs since the 2024 season– 2nd-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Tulane’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs last season– highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%

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