Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

• The Kentucky Wildcats are a -11 point favorite vs. the Vanderbilt Commodores
• Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
• TV Channel: SECN

Vanderbilt (3-4) visit Kroger Field to take on Kentucky (6-1) on Oct. 24 in Lexington, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.

The Kentucky Wildcats are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -11 (-108).

The Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this game with 69.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Vanderbilt Commodores and the Kentucky Wildcats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 64.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores and all games with BetMGM

Vanderbilt Best Bets Today

• Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.48 Units / 17% ROI)
• Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.61 Units / 10% ROI)
• Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)

Kentucky Best Bets Today

• Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+15.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.02 Units / 89% ROI)
• Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)

Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Vanderbilt Commodores is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.42 Units / -18.39% ROI).

• Vanderbilt is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -4.23% ROI
• Vanderbilt is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.13% ROI
• Vanderbilt is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.45 Units / -45.1% ROI

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky Wildcats is 6-1 against the spread this college football season (+4.9 Units / 62.82% ROI).

• Kentucky is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 34.21% ROI
• Kentucky is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
• Kentucky is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

Vanderbilt is 10-2 (.833) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 22nd-best in FBS; Average: .634

Vanderbilt was 1-8 (.111) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .582

Vanderbilt was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

Vanderbilt is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .696

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Kentucky was 2-7 (.222) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Matchup Notes for Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky

Kentucky’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 366 attempts last season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky gained 2,423 yards on 229 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Kentucky gained 2,423 yards on 229 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-4th-best among SEC defenses.

Vanderbilt’s WRs gained 2,154 yards on 148 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Kentucky’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s QBs threw for 3,738 passing yards in 13 games (287.5 YPG) last season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense allowed 239.9 passing yards per game last season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s QBs threw for 3,738 passing yards in 13 games (287.5 YPG) last season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense allowed 239.9 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt TEs averaged 6.2 receptions per game (81/13) last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 3.8

Vanderbilt WRs were targeted 11.6 times per game (151/13) last season– lowest among SEC Teams; Average: 19.7

Vanderbilt’s WRs gained 2,154 yards on 148 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — 5th-best among SEC WRs. Kentucky’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s QBs threw for 3,738 passing yards in 13 games (287.5 YPG) last season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense allowed 239.9 passing yards per game last season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s QBs threw for 3,738 passing yards in 13 games (287.5 YPG) last season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Kentucky’s defense allowed 239.9 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky WRs caught just 114 of 220 passes(52% Reception Pct) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 61%

Kentucky TEs were targeted 4 times in the Red Zone last week– most among SEC Teams

Kentucky TEs have been targeted 15 times in the Red Zone this season– most among SEC Teams

Kentucky TEs have 12 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Kentucky TEs have been targeted 15 times in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 52 attempts (19%) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs just once on 70 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 12.7

Vanderbilt has tackled opponents for a loss on just 30 of 243 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 17%.

Vanderbilt did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 12.9

Vanderbilt tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 39 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most in the SEC

Kentucky’s opponents attempted just 23.2 passes per game last season– lowest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.0

Kentucky’s opponents attempted just 23.2 passes per game last season– lowest in the SEC; Average: 29.8

Kentucky has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 43 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 19%.

Kentucky has allowed 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– most in the SEC

Bet now on Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores and all games with BetMGM

More College Football Betting at BetMGM

College football betting is available at the online sportsbook throughout the season.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Indiana football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State odds this week, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!