• The Rays are -175 favorites vs the Astros
• Astros vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Astros / Rays TV Channel: RATV | SCHN

The Houston Astros (+145) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) on September 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Astros are 75-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 77-66 ATS.

Astros vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Astros starting pitcher: Miguel Ullola 0-0, 3.86 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 14-5, 2.87 ERA

Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Astros vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cam Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+21.40 Units / 238% ROI)
• Taylor Trammell has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Richie Palacios has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+36.00 Units / 600% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.45 Units / 46% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+10.40 Units / 116% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 30% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+13.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 away games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+5.55 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 30% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 76-71 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 0.18% ROI).

• 75-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -3.47% ROI
• 73-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 0.31% ROI
• 65-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -9.41% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 77-66 against the Run Line (+21.05 Units / 12.08% ROI).

• 87-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.2 Units / 8.08% ROI
• 67-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -8.06% ROI
• 73-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.68% ROI

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Astros are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Astros are 42-30 (.583) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Astros are 64-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros are 55-4 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rays are 37-5 (.881) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 22-2 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are 87-59 (.596) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are 13-47 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 164 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .410 this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .270 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .198 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .451 in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Astros have allowed 3.06 runs per game (450/147) in the first 5 innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 17% of batters they faced (895/5,373 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Astros vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.