Home Run Props Today: Odds, Predictions & Best Bets

min read
New York Yankees' Aaron Judge hits a home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the seventh inning of a baseball game Sept. 22, 2023, in New York. Slugger Judge and the Yankees try to make it back to the playoffs after a disappointing 2023 season. The five-time All-Star hit 37 home runs last season and will be a big piece of the lineup once again
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II, File)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 26, 2024, 4:35 PM
  • Get today’s best HR prop bet odds for Friday, Jul. 26
  • Plus home run predictions based on implied probability for each player
  • Home run props let you wager on whether or not a player will hit a HR today

Looking for home run prop bets for Friday‘s MLB slate of games?

We’ve got you covered below, with every top player, HR betting odds and their implied probability of hitting a home run on Friday, July 26, 2024.

Bookmark this page, as it’s updated throughout the day with live odds for the home run prop betting markets.


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Who will hit a home run today?

Home Run Predictions Today, Jul. 26

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 40 games (+50.50 Units / 126% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 46 games (+35.65 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 42 games (+35.40 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 22 games (+33.90 Units / 154% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 34 games (+33.50 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 45 games (+33.20 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 27 games (+33.15 Units / 123% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 45 games (+31.80 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+30.00 Units / 158% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+27.30 Units / 195% ROI)

Below are the top home run prop bets for today, sorted by the implied probability of hitting a HR, with current betting odds.

Home Run Props Today, Jul. 26

Player Name Yes No Implied Probability
Aaron Judge (NYY) +250 -350 28.57%
Cal Raleigh (SEA) +260 -350 27.78%
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) +290 -375 25.64%
Brent Rooker (OAK) +300 -400 25%
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) +300 -375 25%
Shea Langeliers (OAK) +310 -400 24.39%
Tyler O’Neill (BOS) +320 -400 23.81%
Salvador Perez (KC) +350 -450 22.22%
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) +350 -450 22.22%
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) +360 -500 21.74%
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) +360 -500 21.74%
Trea Turner (PHI) +360 -500 21.74%
Matt Chapman (SF) +375 -500 21.05%
Jorge Soler (SF) +375 -500 21.05%
Lawrence Butler (OAK) +375 -550 21.05%
Willy Adames (MIL) +375 -500 21.05%
Gary Sanchez (MIL) +400 -550 20%
Luis Robert (CWS) +400 -550 20%
Adolis Garcia (TEX) +400 -550 20%
Anthony Santander (BAL) +400 -550 20%
Bryce Harper (PHI) +400 -550 20%
Logan O’Hoppe (LAA) +425 -600 19.05%
Hunter Renfroe (KC) +425 -600 19.05%
Juan Soto (NYY) +425 -600 19.05%
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) +425 -600 19.05%
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) +425 -600 19.05%
JJ Bleday (OAK) +450 -650 18.18%
Willson Contreras (STL) +450 -650 18.18%
Mitch Garver (SEA) +450 -650 18.18%
Jorge Polanco (SEA) +450 -650 18.18%


Continue reading:


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How to bet on home run props

It’s important to look at key statistics when betting on whether or not a player will hit a home run, including player performance this season, opposing pitcher matchups, weather & wind reports and which ballpark a game is being played in.

What time do home run prop bets come out?

Most player prop bets like “will a player hit a homerun” are live by 9 AM ET for games that day. Go-live timing for player prop markets and odds vary by sportsbook based on a multitude of factors including lineup uncertainty and weather concerns

Bet on Home Run Odds at BetMGM

BetMGM is the premier online sportsbook for home run odds throughout the regular season and postseason. Whether you’re betting on a player to go yard, building parlays with home runs allowed by a pitcher, or season-long futures, there’s something for everyone.

You can also find sportsbook promos for home run betting, including BetMGM’s Grand Slam Jackpot that can award up to $50,000 in Bonus Bets each Friday, Saturday, and Sunday this season. Check out MLB home run picks and MLB home run leaders when making your weekly selections.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.