Home Run Props Today: Odds & Predictions for Apr. 30

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Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout stands in a batter's box during the third inning of a baseball game against the Houston Astros Tuesday, July 12, 2022, in Anaheim, Calif.
(AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 30, 2024, 9:26 AM
  • Get today’s best HR prop bet odds for Tuesday, Apr. 30
  • Plus home run predictions based on implied probability for each player
  • Home run props let you wager on whether or not a player will hit a HR today

Looking for home run prop bets for Tuesday‘s MLB slate of games?

We’ve got you covered below, with every top player, HR betting odds and their implied probability of hitting a home run on Tuesday, April 30, 2024.

Bookmark this page, as it’s updated throughout the day with live odds for the home run prop betting markets.


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Home Run Predictions Today, Apr. 30

  • Nick Senzel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+31.50 Units / 525% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+28.10 Units / 176% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 away games (+20.40 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+19.50 Units / 488% ROI)
  • Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+18.60 Units / 372% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+18.40 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+18.10 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Will Brennan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+18.00 Units / 300% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+17.30 Units / 247% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+16.80 Units / 168% ROI)

Below are the top home run prop bets for today, sorted by the implied probability of hitting a HR, with current betting odds.

Home Run Props Today, Apr. 30

Player Name Yes No Implied Probability
Aaron Judge (NYY) +185 -225 35.09%
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) +220 -275 31.25%
Adolis Garcia (TEX) +240 -300 29.41%
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) +240 -300 29.41%
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) +270 -350 27.03%
Anthony Santander (BAL) +290 -375 25.64%
Bryce Harper (PHI) +290 -375 25.64%
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) +290 -350 25.64%
Matt Olson (ATL) +290 -375 25.64%
Byron Buxton (MIN) +300 -375 25%
Max Muncy (LAD) +300 -375 25%
Mookie Betts (LAD) +300 -400 25%
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) +310 -400 24.39%
Gary Sanchez (MIL) +310 -400 24.39%
Mike Trout (LAA) +310 -400 24.39%
Trea Turner (PHI) +333 -450 23.09%
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) +333 -450 23.09%
William Contreras (MIL) +340 -450 22.73%
Willy Adames (MIL) +340 -450 22.73%
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) +340 -450 22.73%
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) +350 -450 22.22%
Juan Soto (NYY) +350 -450 22.22%
Miguel Sano (LAA) +350 -450 22.22%
Patrick Wisdom (CHC) +360 -500 21.74%
Corey Seager (TEX) +360 -500 21.74%
Christian Walker (ARI) +360 -500 21.74%
Jordan Westburg (BAL) +375 -500 21.05%
Salvador Perez (KC) +375 -500 21.05%
Christopher Morel (CHC) +375 -500 21.05%
Eloy Jimenez (CWS) +375 -500 21.05%


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How to bet on home run props

It’s important to look at key statistics when betting on whether or not a player will hit a home run, including player performance this season, opposing pitcher matchups, weather & wind reports and which ballpark a game is being played in.

What time do home run prop bets come out?

Most player prop bets like “will a player hit a homerun” are live by 9 AM ET for games that day. Go-live timing for player prop markets and odds vary by sportsbook based on a multitude of factors including lineup uncertainty and weather concerns

Bet on Home Run Odds at BetMGM

BetMGM is the premier online sportsbook for home run odds throughout the regular season and postseason. Whether you’re betting on a player to go yard, building parlays with home runs allowed by a pitcher, or season-long futures, there’s something for everyone.

You can also find sportsbook promos for home run betting, including BetMGM’s Grand Slam Jackpot that can award up to $50,000 in Bonus Bets each Friday, Saturday, and Sunday this season. Check out MLB home run picks and MLB home run leaders when making your weekly selections.

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About the Author

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.