Astros vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 28

(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
Sportsbook PromosNew Player Offer
  • The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Astros vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Astros / Tigers TV Channel: DSN | SCHN

The Houston Astros (-135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+115) on June 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Astros are 41-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 35-43 ATS.

Astros vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 1-0, 1.42 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 1-8, 5.32 ERA

Astros vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +130O 8 -110-135
Tigers +1.5 -155U 8 -110+115

Astros vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Astros vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Cam Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+13.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Joey Loperfido has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Colt Keith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.50 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Kevin McGonigle has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • James Outman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 away games (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 away games (+5.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 41-44 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -8.66% ROI).

  • 41-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -4.42% ROI
  • 44-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 2.42% ROI
  • 37-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -11.96% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 35-43 against the Run Line (-11.65 Units / -10.84% ROI).

  • 35-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.55 Units / -19.61% ROI
  • 35-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -14.56% ROI
  • 44-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 6.49% ROI

Tigers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +250
Christian Walker +333
Isaac Paredes +400
Kerry Carpenter +425
Dillon Dingler +450

Tigers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Yainer Diaz 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jose Altuve 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Tigers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jose Altuve 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Hao-Yu Lee 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Colt Keith 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Astros are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 17-23 (.425) after a win this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Astros are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Astros are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .942.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Tigers are just 26-8 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Tigers are just 27-12 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

The Tigers are just 3-24 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Tigers are just 17-30 (.362) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 56 extra-base hits out of 121 total hits (46%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .153 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .221 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Astros pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .288 (732 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers are throwing just 3.81 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 66% of opposing batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Astros vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.