Astros vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 20

Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton doubles during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday, Aug. 1, 2023, in St. Louis.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
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The Houston Astros (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on May 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Astros are 20-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 26-23 ATS.

Astros vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Michael Burrows 2-5, 5.73 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 2-3, 3.20 ERA

Astros vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -165O 8 -110+125
Twins -1.5 +135U 8 -110-155

Astros vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+17.80 Units / 178% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Walks Under in his last 15 games (+15.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Victor Caratini has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 20-30 against the Run Line (-14.45 Units / -22.33% ROI).

  • 20-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -20.44% ROI
  • 28-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 10.99% ROI
  • 19-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -21.25% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 26-23 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -8.36% ROI).

  • 22-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -7.2% ROI
  • 27-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 18-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -21.76% ROI

Twins vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Byron Buxton +250
Yordan Alvarez +360
Christian Walker +425
Zach Cole +475
Kody Clemens +475

Twins vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Josh Bell 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Twins vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Kody Clemens 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Tristan Gray 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Jake Meyers 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Astros are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Astros are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Astros are just 20-30 (.400) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Twins are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Twins are just 19-4 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Twins are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Twins are just 9-12 (.429) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Astros (28th runs allowed).

The Astros are batting .272 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Astros are batting .311 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .386 (223 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .409 this season — 5th best in MLB.

Twins hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 52 total hits (50%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 55% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .197 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.