• The Braves are -120 favorites vs the Astros
• Braves vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Braves / Astros TV Channel: BRVN | SCHN

The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+100) on September 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Braves are 89-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 79-74 ATS.

Braves vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 6-10, 3.93 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 8-9, 3.71 ERA

Braves vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+12.80 Units / 160% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 40% ROI)
• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubón has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Cam Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+13.40 Units / 149% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 28% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Peter Lambert has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+19.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+16.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 45 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.40 Units / 11% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.75 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+5.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 77-75 against the Run Line (+9.9 Units / 5.59% ROI).

• 89-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 3.89% ROI
• 71-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -6.84% ROI
• 75-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -1.17% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 79-74 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.05% ROI).

• 77-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -4.76% ROI
• 74-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -2.3% ROI
• 70-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.1 Units / -6.64% ROI

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Braves are 46-10 (.821) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves are 22-2 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Braves are 41-7 (.854) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves are 9-54 (.143) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Astros are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Astros are 44-32 (.579) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Astros are 66-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros are 57-4 (.934) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .290 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 29% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — highest in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros hitters have 46 extra-base hits out of 173 total hits (just 27%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .419 with bases empty this season — best in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.67 (648.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Braves have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 786 times this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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