• The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Braves
• Braves vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Braves / Astros TV Channel: BRVN | SCHN

The Atlanta Braves (+125) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on September 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Braves are 91-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 79-76 ATS.

Braves vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 9-9, 3.08 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 6-3, 3.44 ERA

Braves vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Astros and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 away games (+20.10 Units / 201% ROI)
• Martín Pérez has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 51% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+15.40 Units / 154% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Cam Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 44% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.50 Units / 36% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 45 away games (+19.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 away games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.70 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+4.55 Units / 11% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 79-75 against the Run Line (+12.3 Units / 6.84% ROI).

• 91-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 4.87% ROI
• 72-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -6.17% ROI
• 75-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -1.74% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 79-76 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -1.31% ROI).

• 77-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -5.96% ROI
• 75-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -1.69% ROI
• 70-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -7.15% ROI

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Braves are 12-52 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves are 38-26 (.594) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves are 48-10 (.828) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves are 23-2 (.920) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Astros are 57-5 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Astros are 66-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .289 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Astros Hitting Stats & Trends

Astros hitters have 46 extra-base hits out of 175 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OBP of just .235 (3,062 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Astros have scored first in just 39% of their games against division opponents this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 117 double plays in 1,054 opportunities (11%) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.62 (1376.0 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (710.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Astros Pitching Stats & Trends

Astros pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Astros pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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