• The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Braves
• Braves vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Braves / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | BRVN | GRAY

The Atlanta Braves (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-130) on May 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Braves are 25-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 12-24 ATS.

Braves vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 3-1, 1.90 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 4-2, 3.00 ERA

Braves vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+20.25 Units / 76% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.65 Units / 62% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.60 Units / 61% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+15.30 Units / 219% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+15.00 Units / 300% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 45 away games (+33.30 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+18.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+7.10 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+5.10 Units / 6% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 25-11 against the Run Line (+19 Units / 48.04% ROI).

• 25-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 20.02% ROI
• 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -1% ROI
• 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -5.36% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 12-24 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -26.52% ROI).

• 17-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -16.6% ROI
• 17-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -6.93% ROI
• 18-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -1.39% ROI

Mariners vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Braves are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Braves are 4-9 (.308) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Braves are 14-76 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Braves are 25-11 (.694) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mariners are 6-2 (.750) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Braves (first in runs scored).

The Mariners are just 16-28 (.364) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Braves (first in runs scored).

The Mariners are 6-76 (.073) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Mariners are 10-70 (.125) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .468 this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .275 this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .615 (725 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .475 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters are slugging .672 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .202 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging .520 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .630 (403 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (321.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (158.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 68% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 71% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Braves vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.