• The Braves are -118 favorites vs the Mets
• Braves vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Braves / Mets TV Channel: BRVN | SNY

The Atlanta Braves (-118) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-102) on July 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Braves are 62-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 46-58 ATS.

Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 6-6, 3.39 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Zach Thornton 1-1, 1.96 ERA

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+17.40 Units / 217% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+30.40 Units / 608% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.55 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+7.85 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.35 Units / 66% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 54-50 against the Run Line (+8.95 Units / 7.38% ROI).

• 62-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 4.84% ROI
• 51-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.59% ROI
• 48-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -6.29% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 46-58 against the Run Line (-11.6 Units / -9.06% ROI).

• 44-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.85 Units / -24.56% ROI
• 47-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -7.5% ROI
• 50-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -1.77% ROI

Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 8-1 (.889) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 23-13 (.639) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mets (19th runs allowed).

The Braves are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 27-16 (.628) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are just 13-57 (.186) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Mets are just 7-27 (.206) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Mets are 21-8 (.724) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .630.

The Mets are just 39-53 (.424) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .560 (2,123 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .176 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves have a winning percentage of 61% at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .667 (923 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .646 (1,245 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 27 extra-base hits out of 105 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .304 (2,904 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Braves have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 1.01 runs per game (106/105) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.63 (461.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 52 double plays in 740 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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