• The Mets are -130 favorites vs the Braves
• Braves vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Braves / Mets TV Channel: ATV

The Atlanta Braves (+105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-130) on June 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Braves are against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are ATS.

Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider 4-1, 4.04 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 3-4, 3.97 ERA

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+9.20 Units / 102% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.50 Units / 145% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.94 Units / 36% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 50 away games (+27.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 away games (+14.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.00 Units / 21% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 17-5 (.773) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Braves are 23-12 (.657) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Braves are 45-23 (.662) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .780.

The Mets are just 26-35 (.426) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Mets are just 1-101 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.

The Mets are 38-38 (.500) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Braves (fourth in runs scored).

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .453 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,389 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .582 (771 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,307 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 58 runs in innings 7-9 this season — fewest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .149 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (606.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.85 runs per game (58/68) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 3.42 (305.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have allowed 64 home runs this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.