Braves vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

New York Mets' Juan Soto (22) tosses his bat as he runs the bases after hitting a two-run home run during the third inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Wednesday, June 11, 2025, in New York.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
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  • The Mets are -120 favorites vs the Braves
  • Braves vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Atlanta Braves (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on June 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Braves are 46-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 28-41 ATS.

Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 5-3, 2.67 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 4-5, 4.08 ERA

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves+1.5 -210O 8.5 -102+100
Mets -1.5 +160U 8.5 -118-120

Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+22.00 Units / 244% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+11.75 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.32 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.09 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 50 away games (+26.05 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 away games (+17.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 away games (+14.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+3.80 Units / 18% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 41-28 against the Run Line (+19.15 Units / 24.33% ROI).

  • 46-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 14.31% ROI
  • 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -1.23% ROI
  • 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -6.15% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 28-41 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 31-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.4 Units / -23.09% ROI
  • 30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -10.16% ROI
  • 34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.72% ROI

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 46-24 (.657) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 4-20 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .108.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are just 14-24 (.368) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Mets are just 10-37 (.213) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Mets are just 27-36 (.429) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Mets are 21-2 (.913) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

Braves hitters are slugging .451 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .780 (1,462 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .428 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .579 (788 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .285 (682 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .220 (1,342 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,298 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.23 (623.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.90 (301.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.83 runs per game (58/70) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 115 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have allowed 67 home runs this season — 5th fewest in MLB.

The Mets have allowed 3.80 runs per game (133/35) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.