- The Braves are -102 favorites vs the Phillies
- Braves vs Phillies Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Braves / Phillies TV Channel: BRVN | NSPA
The Atlanta Braves (-102) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-118) on September 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Braves are against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are ATS.
Braves vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-9, 2.06 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 16-4, 2.51 ERA
Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +165 | O 6.5 +100 | -102 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -200 | U 6.5 -120 | -118 |
Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+17.70 Units / 354% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Michael Harris has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Michael Harris has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+14.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+13.00 Units / 130% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 35 away games (+18.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 away games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+7.45 Units / 22% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 43-9 (.827) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Braves are 48-34 (.585) after a win this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
The Braves are 71-21 (.772) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
The Braves are 17-24 (.415) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 7-55 (.113) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies are 19-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies are 45-5 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies are 15-49 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves have a winning percentage of 67% at home this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .542 (2,771 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Braves have an xwOBA of .378 this season — best in MLB.
The Braves have a winning percentage of 59% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have 124 extra-base hits out of 253 total hits (49%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.
Phillies hitters are slugging .710 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.
The Phillies are just 7-21 (.250) against the run line (-62.1% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.
The Phillies are just 6-22 (-57.1% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.58 (1243.0 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (3,190 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .277 against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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