• The Phillies are -165 favorites vs the Braves
• Braves vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Braves / Phillies TV Channel: BRVN | NSPA

The Atlanta Braves (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-165) on September 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Braves are against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are ATS.

Braves vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 8-8, 3.06 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 11-5, 3.34 ERA

Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Sean Murphy has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+17.70 Units / 354% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 68% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+14.30 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+13.00 Units / 130% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 35 away games (+18.70 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 away games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 30 games (+7.45 Units / 22% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Braves are 49-34 (.590) after a win this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Braves are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves are 43-9 (.827) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Phillies are 7-56 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 19-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 11-54 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 38-12 (.760) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

The Braves have a winning percentage of 67% at home this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .540 (2,794 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .291 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .479 (2,847 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .661 (2,706 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.215 (972 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .296 (2,706 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Braves have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (3,219 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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