• The Braves are -110 favorites vs the Phillies
• Braves vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Braves / Phillies TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The Atlanta Braves (-110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-110) on September 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Braves are 84-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 59-82 ATS.

Braves vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 5-10, 4.27 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 6-10, 4.95 ERA

Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 63% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubón has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+16.55 Units / 47% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+16.45 Units / 63% ROI)
• Aaron Nola has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+12.00 Units / 74% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.90 Units / 43% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 away games (+17.35 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 away games (+14.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.80 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+4.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+3.40 Units / 8% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 73-68 against the Run Line (+13.85 Units / 8.5% ROI).

• 84-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 4.92% ROI
• 63-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.35 Units / -10.38% ROI
• 72-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 2.55% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 59-82 against the Run Line (-28.5 Units / -17.2% ROI).

• 80-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.14% ROI
• 63-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -9.52% ROI
• 71-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 1.38% ROI

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Braves are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves are 43-10 (.811) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves are 84-58 (.592) this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves are 38-6 (.864) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Phillies are 45-5 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 15-50 (.231) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 19-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 7-56 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have a winning percentage of 67% at home this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .598 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.215 (977 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are just 6-23 (-58.6% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .481 (2,867 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .661 (2,706 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.62 (606.0 IP) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 257 times this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (3,219 balls in play) — best in MLB

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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