Brewers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 21

Atlanta Braves' Ronald Acuna Jr. (13) runs during a baseball game against the Miami Marlins, Tuesday, May 2, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Marta Lavandier)
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  • The Braves are -125 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Brewers vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
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The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-125) on June 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Brewers are 45-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 42-32 ATS.

Brewers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Robert Gasser 0-3, 4.88 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 5-4, 3.16 ERA

Brewers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -190O 9 -130+105
Braves -1.5 +155U 9 +100-125

Brewers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+16.75 Units / 167% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+31.00 Units / 344% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+10.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+7.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+6.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 42-32 against the Run Line (+15.15 Units / 17.23% ROI).

  • 45-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 6.58% ROI
  • 33-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -12.08% ROI
  • 39-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 3.5% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 42-32 against the Run Line (+15.3 Units / 18.05% ROI).

  • 48-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.4 Units / 11.93% ROI
  • 36-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.06% ROI
  • 33-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -7.19% ROI

Braves vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +350
Jackson Chourio +390
Jake Bauers +400
Drake Baldwin +425
Austin Riley +450

Braves vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Brice Turang 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Matt Olson 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Michael Harris II 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Braves vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Bauers 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brice Turang 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Austin Riley 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Brewers are 8-21 (.276) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Brewers are 45-29 (.608) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 19-7 (.731) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .645.

The Brewers are 7-20 (.259) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .138.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 15-10 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Brewers (fourth in runs allowed).

The Braves are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 42-9 (.824) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Brewers are batting .385 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Brewers have scored 1.82 runs per game (135/74) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .357 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .424 against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .384 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .422 this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .261 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (337.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.88 runs per game (66/75) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.65 (330.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 393 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.