Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 4

St. Louis Cardinals second baseman Nolan Gorman throws out Cincinnati Reds' Elly De La Cruz at first base during the fifth inning of a baseball game, Friday, Sept. 8, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
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  • The Brewers are -118 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Brewers vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Cardinals TV Channel: FS1 | CATV | BRTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-118) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-102) on May 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Brewers are 18-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 21-12 ATS.

Brewers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 2-1, 2.57 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 3-3, 5.59 ERA

Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +145O 8.5 -105-118
Cardinals +1.5 -175U 8.5 -115-102

Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+16.00 Units / 320% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+9.05 Units / 101% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • JJ Wetherholt has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+26.10 Units / 290% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+15.60 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Ramon Urias has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 away games (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 20-13 against the Run Line (+10.5 Units / 27.2% ROI).

  • 18-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -4.79% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -1.78% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -7.18% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 21-12 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 7.57% ROI).

  • 20-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.8 Units / 28.32% ROI
  • 18-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 3.89% ROI
  • 15-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -13.43% ROI

Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jordan Walker +450
Nolan Gorman +475
Jake Bauers +500
William Contreras +525
Ivan Herrera +550

Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Sal Frelick 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alec Burleson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Garrett Mitchell 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Bauers 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Blake Perkins 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Tyler Black 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Chad Patrick 3.5 -160 3.5 +120
Pedro Pages 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Brewers are 86-9 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Brewers are 36-28 (.562) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Cardinals (eighth in runs scored).

The Brewers are 53-43 (.552) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .459.

The Brewers are 9-64 (.123) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cardinals are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Cardinals are 14-5 (.737) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Brewers (third in runs scored).

The Cardinals are 7-6 (.538) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Brewers (fifth in runs allowed).

The Cardinals are 79-5 (.940) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

Brewers hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .300 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .959 (1,400 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 12% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.