• The Brewers are -155 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Brewers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BRTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-155) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) on July 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Brewers are 54-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 46-39 ATS.

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 2-1, 2.62 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 5-8, 5.87 ERA

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Brewers vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+15.70 Units / 314% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.20 Units / 53% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 106% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+17.30 Units / 216% ROI)
• Adrian Del Castillo has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+14.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 60% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 41% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+12.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+17.55 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 49-37 against the Run Line (+18.8 Units / 18.7% ROI).

• 54-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.65 Units / 8.68% ROI
• 39-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.45 Units / -11.03% ROI
• 45-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 2.38% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 46-39 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.51% ROI).

• 43-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -3.31% ROI
• 37-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.35 Units / -12.86% ROI
• 45-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 4.87% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Brewers are 8-23 (.258) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Brewers are 8-22 (.267) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Brewers are 25-14 (.641) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Brewers are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Diamondbacks are just 10-20 (.333) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Brewers (second in runs allowed).

The Diamondbacks are just 9-20 (.310) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Brewers (fourth in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Diamondbacks are just 90-23 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .392 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have chased just 20% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .359 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging .657 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .276 on breaking pitches against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

The Brewers have won 54% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 59% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 2.35 (191.2 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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