Brewers vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 3

Washington Nationals' Luis Garcia hits an RBI single against the Seattle Mariners to score CJ Abrams during the third inning of a baseball game Monday, June 26, 2023, in Seattle.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
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  • The Brewers are -140 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Brewers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Nationals TV Channel: BRTV | NATV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-140) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+115) on May 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Brewers are 18-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 19-14 ATS.

Brewers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 2-1, 2.57 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Zack Littell 0-4, 7.86 ERA

Brewers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +125O 8.5 -105-140
Nationals +1.5 -150U 8.5 -115+115

Brewers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.00 Units / 425% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.85 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+23.50 Units / 294% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+17.05 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jacob Young has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jorbit Vivas has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (+4.65 Units / 21% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 20-12 against the Run Line (+11.5 Units / 30.59% ROI).

  • 18-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.53% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 1.27% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -10.26% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 19-14 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 2.61% ROI).

  • 15-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 8.45% ROI
  • 21-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 24.63% ROI
  • 11-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -32.49% ROI

Nationals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Jake Bauers +390
William Contreras +400
James Wood +400
Garrett Mitchell +475
CJ Abrams +550

Nationals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brice Turang 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Luis Garcia Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Luis Rengifo 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Daylen Lile 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Sal Frelick 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Nationals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Bauers 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Blake Perkins 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Tyler Black 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Brice Turang 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Chad Patrick 3.5 -160 3.5 +120

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Brewers are 36-27 (.571) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Nationals (fifth in runs scored).

The Brewers are 86-9 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Brewers are 71-42 (.628) after a win since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Brewers are 90-27 (.769) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Nationals are just 3-12 (.200) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Nationals are just 34-61 (.354) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.

The Nationals are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .853.

The Nationals are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Brewers hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .340 (3,794 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are batting just .152 against division opponents this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have 188 extra-base hits out of 709 total hits (just 27%) versus relief pitchers since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are batting just .159 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging just .255 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are just 3-12 (.200) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .252 (163 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.27 (1731.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.02 runs per game (578/96) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.