- The Brewers are -140 favorites vs the Nationals
- Brewers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Nationals TV Channel: BRTV | NATV
The Milwaukee Brewers (-140) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+115) on May 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Washington, DC.
This season, the Brewers are 18-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 19-14 ATS.
Brewers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 2-1, 2.57 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Zack Littell 0-4, 7.86 ERA
Brewers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -105 | -140 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -115 | +115 |
Brewers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.00 Units / 425% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.85 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daylen Lile has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+23.50 Units / 294% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+17.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jorbit Vivas has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 47% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (+4.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 20-12 against the Run Line (+11.5 Units / 30.59% ROI).
- 18-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -1.53% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 1.27% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -10.26% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 19-14 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 2.61% ROI).
- 15-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 8.45% ROI
- 21-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 24.63% ROI
- 11-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -32.49% ROI
Nationals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | +390 |
| William Contreras | +400 |
| James Wood | +400 |
| Garrett Mitchell | +475 |
| CJ Abrams | +550 |
Nationals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Sal Frelick | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Nationals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Blake Perkins | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tyler Black | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brice Turang | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Chad Patrick | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Brewers are 36-27 (.571) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Nationals (fifth in runs scored).
The Brewers are 86-9 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Brewers are 71-42 (.628) after a win since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Brewers are 90-27 (.769) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Nationals are just 3-12 (.200) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 34-61 (.354) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.
The Nationals are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .853.
The Nationals are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have chased just 19% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .340 (3,794 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
The Brewers are batting just .152 against division opponents this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have 188 extra-base hits out of 709 total hits (just 27%) versus relief pitchers since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .159 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .255 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
The Nationals are just 3-12 (.200) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .252 (163 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.27 (1731.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 6.02 runs per game (578/96) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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