Brewers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 18

Baltimore Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
World Series Betting Promos
  • The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Brewers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BRTV

The Milwaukee Brewers (-145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+120) on September 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Brewers are 95-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 79-73 ATS.

Brewers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Dustin May 7-9, 4.54 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 2-1, 4.09 ERA

Brewers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +120O 8.5 -110-145
Orioles +1.5 -145U 8.5 -110+120

Brewers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+19.45 Units / 72% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+17.30 Units / 216% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Joey Ortiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Cooper Pratt has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Dylan Beavers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+13.70 Units / 152% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+13.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+3.05 Units / 6% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 79-74 against the Run Line (+15.7 Units / 9.04% ROI).

  • 95-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.95 Units / 6.59% ROI
  • 69-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.35 Units / -10.32% ROI
  • 79-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 1.99% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 79-73 against the Run Line (-0.75 Units / -0.37% ROI).

  • 75-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -5.03% ROI
  • 77-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -1.27% ROI
  • 72-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -6.99% ROI

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Brewers are 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 13-45 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Brewers are 15-2 (.882) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 11-47 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Orioles were 45-9 (.833) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Orioles were 60-12 (.833) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Orioles are just 75-81 (.481) at home since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles were 81-5 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .347 (4,158 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are batting .400 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .342 (5,966 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 27% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .188 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .156 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 51% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have struck out 27% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 51% of batters they faced (2,958/5,861 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.