Brewers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 20

(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
MLB Promos This Week
  • The Brewers are -210 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Brewers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Orioles TV Channel: PEAC

The Milwaukee Brewers (-210) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+170) on September 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Brewers are 97-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 81-73 ATS.

Brewers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 15-5, 1.89 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 9-4, 3.68 ERA

Brewers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 -120O 7.5 -105-210
Orioles +1.5 +100U 7.5 -115+170

Brewers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+15.30 Units / 153% ROI)
  • Joey Ortiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Joey Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Luis Lara has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Dylan Beavers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.70 Units / 127% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+7.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+3.40 Units / 7% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 79-76 against the Run Line (+13.7 Units / 7.8% ROI).

  • 97-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.95 Units / 7.38% ROI
  • 70-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.45 Units / -10.24% ROI
  • 80-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 1.9% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 81-73 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 0.6% ROI).

  • 75-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -6.13% ROI
  • 78-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -1.31% ROI
  • 73-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -6.95% ROI

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Brewers are 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 13-45 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 16-2 (.889) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 97-58 (.626) this season — best in MLB.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Orioles were 60-12 (.833) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Orioles were 79-7 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Brewers are batting .399 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,795 of their 6,042 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .341 (6,042 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .347 (4,175 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .483 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .234 this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .157 with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Brewers have won 60% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 50% of batters they faced (2,994/5,937 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.