The Milwaukee Brewers are one win away from their first National League pennant as they enter Game 4 of the NLCS against the Los Angeles Dodgers. First pitch is set for 8 p.m. ET on Thursday at Dodger Stadium on FS1.
Check out my Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction based on the latest MLB odds:
Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction for Game 4 NLCS
- Dodgers over 3.5 runs & ML
I like a two-leg parlay featuring the Dodgers’ team total and their moneyline in Game 4 of the NLCS. Simply put, I expect them to throw everything they have at this game.
Tyler Glasnow will get the start for the Dodgers, but his outs prop (14.5) suggests he could have a short leash in an elimination game. I’d love the under at 15.5, but 14.5 is a touch too low.
Los Angeles has its best relievers available behind Glasnow after pulling the plug in last night’s 6-2 loss to Milwaukee. The Dodgers could also use Tarik Skubal or Yoshinobu Yamamoto in relief if needed. They can worry about tomorrow after tonight.
With that in mind, it makes sense to see Los Angeles as a -155 favorite despite being down 3-0 in this series. Ballpark Pal’s model projects a 65.3% chance of victory, suggesting a true price of -188.
However, I don’t envision a world where the Dodgers win without their lineup waking up for the first time this series. They’ve scored seven runs through the first three games of the NLCS.
Since I expect manager Dave Roberts to be aggressive with his bullpen, don’t be surprised if he’s quick to call for a pinch-hitter. Josue De Paula, the Dodgers’ top prospect, is an intriguing offensive bench option.
I’m fine with either the Dodgers’ team total or moneyline value as individual picks, but I prefer this correlated parlay for tonight’s Game 4.
Prediction: Dodgers over 3.5 runs & ML
Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds: NLCS, Game 4
- Brewers moneyline: +130
- Dodgers moneyline: -155
- Total: 7.5
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