Cardinals vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 2

Atlanta Braves second base Ozzie Albies (1) is shown in action against the Chicago Cubs in a baseball game Tuesday, May 14, 2024, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
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  • The Cardinals are -105 favorites vs the Braves
  • Cardinals vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Cardinals / Braves TV Channel: CATV | BRVN

The St. Louis Cardinals (-105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-115) on July 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Cardinals are 44-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 44-39 ATS.

Cardinals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Dustin May 5-6, 4.36 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Hurston Waldrep 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Cardinals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +154O 9 -115-105
Braves +1.5 -190U 9 -105-115

Cardinals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+15.50 Units / 155% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+10.85 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+18.20 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+8.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+12.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 40 games at home (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+2.95 Units / 6% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 47-34 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 2.93% ROI).

  • 44-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 9.57% ROI
  • 35-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -14.7% ROI
  • 44-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 5.73% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-39 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 10.88% ROI).

  • 50-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 4.86% ROI
  • 38-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -6.29% ROI
  • 40-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.31% ROI

Braves vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +340
Drake Baldwin +400
Jordan Walker +400
JJ Wetherholt +425
Alec Burleson +425

Braves vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Michael Harris II 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jordan Walker 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ozzie Albies 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Braves vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Austin Riley 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Nathan Church 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Cardinals are 19-14 (.576) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Braves (ninth in runs scored).

The Cardinals are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 10-98 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Cardinals are 163-11 (.937) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 25-5 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Braves are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Braves are 25-15 (.625) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 116 extra-base hits out of 393 total hits (just 29%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 215 extra-base hits out of 678 total hits (just 32%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .250 on pitches out of the zone this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves hitters have grounded into 35 double plays in 585 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .418 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .546 (1,684 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Braves have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (364.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.