Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

New York Mets' Francisco Lindor scores on a single hit by Francisco Alvarez during the first inning of a baseball game against the Cincinnati Reds Sunday, April 7, 2024, in Cincinnati.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
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  • The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Mets Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: CATV | SNY

The St. Louis Cardinals (+118) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-145) on June 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Cardinals are 37-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 27-39 ATS.

Cardinals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Hunter Dobbins 1-0, 2.77 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 2-0, 2.50 ERA

Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -170O 9 -115+118
Mets -1.5 +140U 9 -105-145

Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+11.40 Units / 228% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+15.50 Units / 172% ROI)
  • Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.84 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Francisco Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Christian Scott has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 101% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+9.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 32% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 40-24 against the Run Line (+7.25 Units / 7.59% ROI).

  • 37-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.7 Units / 20.12% ROI
  • 29-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -9.89% ROI
  • 33-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.39% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 27-39 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -13.28% ROI).

  • 29-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -25.03% ROI
  • 29-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -10.48% ROI
  • 33-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.88% ROI

Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Juan Soto +250
Jordan Walker +310
Alec Burleson +360
JJ Wetherholt +380
Nolan Gorman +400

Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Juan Soto 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Carson Benge 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jordan Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
A.J. Ewing 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Masyn Winn 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
MJ Melendez 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Brett Baty 0.5 -210 0.5 +150

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cardinals are 3-24 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Cardinals are 15-3 (.833) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .645.

The Cardinals are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 30-92 (.246) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Mets are 8-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Mets are just 13-24 (.351) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Mets are just 26-35 (.426) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Mets are just 1-101 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have 87 extra-base hits out of 310 total hits (just 28%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Cardinals are batting just .214 with two outs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .581 (764 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,287 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,481 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,298 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 3.42 (305.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 36 double plays in 469 opportunities (8%) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have allowed 61 home runs this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.