- The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Mets Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Mets TV Channel: CATV | SNY
The St. Louis Cardinals (+118) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-145) on June 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Cardinals are 37-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 27-39 ATS.
Cardinals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Hunter Dobbins 1-0, 2.77 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 2-0, 2.50 ERA
Cardinals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -170 | O 9 -115 | +118 |
| Mets | -1.5 +140 | U 9 -105 | -145 |
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+11.40 Units / 228% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+15.50 Units / 172% ROI)
- Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.84 Units / 29% ROI)
- Francisco Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Scott has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 101% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+9.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+9.50 Units / 41% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.35 Units / 32% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 40-24 against the Run Line (+7.25 Units / 7.59% ROI).
- 37-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.7 Units / 20.12% ROI
- 29-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -9.89% ROI
- 33-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.39% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 27-39 against the Run Line (-10.4 Units / -13.28% ROI).
- 29-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -25.03% ROI
- 29-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -10.48% ROI
- 33-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.88% ROI
Mets vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | +250 |
| Jordan Walker | +310 |
| Alec Burleson | +360 |
| JJ Wetherholt | +380 |
| Nolan Gorman | +400 |
Mets vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| JJ Wetherholt | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Carson Benge | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ivan Herrera | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Mets vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Ewing | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ivan Herrera | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +150 |
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cardinals are 3-24 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Cardinals are 15-3 (.833) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .645.
The Cardinals are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 30-92 (.246) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mets are 8-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Mets are just 13-24 (.351) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Mets are just 26-35 (.426) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Mets are just 1-101 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Cardinals hitters have 87 extra-base hits out of 310 total hits (just 28%) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Cardinals are batting just .214 with two outs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .581 (764 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,287 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .291 (2,481 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,298 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 3.42 (305.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 36 double plays in 469 opportunities (8%) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Mets pitchers have allowed 61 home runs this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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