• The Cubs are -105 favorites vs the Mets
• Cubs vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Cubs / Mets TV Channel: MARQ | SNY

The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-115) on June 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Cubs are 43-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 31-48 ATS.

Cubs vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 2-1, 6.09 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 5-6, 4.88 ERA

Cubs vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Cubs vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+17.10 Units / 171% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.25 Units / 50% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 35% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 105% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bo Bichette has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+20.40 Units / 291% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.50 Units / 6% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 21 games at home (+1.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 32-48 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -17.78% ROI).

• 43-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -4.29% ROI
• 43-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 4.48% ROI
• 36-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -12.32% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 31-48 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -17.69% ROI).

• 34-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.8 Units / -24.84% ROI
• 37-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -2.21% ROI
• 35-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -7.06% ROI

Mets vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cubs are just 7-30 (.189) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Cubs are just 4-14 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .358.

The Cubs are 4-35 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Cubs are 12-4 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .642.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Mets are just 16-29 (.356) after a loss this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Mets are just 30-40 (.429) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Mets are just 10-42 (.192) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Mets are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .058.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .350 (883 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 927 of their 3,160 plate appearances (29%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .260 (1,664 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .593 (913 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .674 (2,973 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 71 runs in innings 7-9 this season — fewest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,168 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 14 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 14 runners this season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 211 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers this season traveled 494.7 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Mets pitchers have 134 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 43 double plays in 567 opportunities (8%) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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