- The Cubs are -118 favorites vs the Orioles
- Cubs vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cubs / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (-118) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-102) on July 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Cubs are against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are ATS.
Cubs vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 3-1, 5.13 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 4-8, 4.14 ERA
Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | O 9.5 -118 | -118 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -160 | U 9.5 -102 | -102 |
Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+12.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.15 Units / 74% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.65 Units / 107% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Orioles vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | +280 |
| Pete Alonso | +310 |
| Mike Busch | +340 |
| Ian Happ | +350 |
| Seiya Suzuki | +375 |
Orioles vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Michael Conforto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tyler O'Neill | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cubs are 4-38 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Cubs are 15-4 (.789) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .634.
The Cubs are 31-18 (.633) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Cubs are 38-3 (.927) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .861.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Orioles are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 9-40 (.184) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Orioles are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .352 (999 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,033 of their 3,555 plate appearances (29%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .747 (3,555 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have a swing rate of just 45% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .473 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are batting just .129 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have picked-off 15 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 40% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 74% of their games this season — highest in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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