Cubs vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 9

Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the ninth inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
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  • The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Cubs vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cubs / Rangers TV Channel: MARQ | RASN

The Chicago Cubs (-145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+118) on May 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Cubs are 27-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 17-20 ATS.

Cubs vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 3-0, 3.32 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 1-3, 5.50 ERA

Cubs vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +120O 8.5 -118-145
Rangers +1.5 -145U 8.5 -102+118

Cubs vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+12.70 Units / 127% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.73 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+11.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games (+17.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+15.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+3.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.50 Units / 3% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 19-20 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.44% ROI).

  • 27-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.4 Units / 20.73% ROI
  • 24-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.9 Units / 20.75% ROI
  • 14-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -28.69% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 17-20 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -15.07% ROI).

  • 17-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -11.39% ROI
  • 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -19.03% ROI
  • 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 11.67% ROI

Rangers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Corey Seager +390
Seiya Suzuki +400
Mike Busch +400
Ian Happ +400
Jake Burger +450

Rangers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Josh Jung 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Moises Ballesteros 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rangers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Josh Jung 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Mike Busch 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Danny Jansen 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Cubs are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Cubs are 27-12 (.692) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Cubs are 19-7 (.731) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Rangers are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.

The Rangers are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Rangers are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Rangers are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .364 (767 PA’s) with bases empty this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .378 (477 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .823 (477 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .284 (788 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .278 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .198 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .561 (354 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .308 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (213.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Cubs have allowed 3.52 runs per game (81/23) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers have allowed 3.06 runs per game (49/16) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (144.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.