- The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
- Cubs vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Rangers TV Channel: MARQ | RASN
The Chicago Cubs (-145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+118) on May 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Cubs are 27-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 17-20 ATS.
Cubs vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 3-0, 3.32 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 1-3, 5.50 ERA
Cubs vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -118 | -145 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -102 | +118 |
Cubs vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+12.70 Units / 127% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.73 Units / 47% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+11.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games (+17.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+15.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+12.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+3.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.50 Units / 3% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 19-20 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.44% ROI).
- 27-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.4 Units / 20.73% ROI
- 24-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.9 Units / 20.75% ROI
- 14-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -28.69% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 17-20 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -15.07% ROI).
- 17-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -11.39% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -19.03% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 11.67% ROI
Rangers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Corey Seager | +390 |
| Seiya Suzuki | +400 |
| Mike Busch | +400 |
| Ian Happ | +400 |
| Jake Burger | +450 |
Rangers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Jung | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Moises Ballesteros | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rangers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Jung | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mike Busch | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Danny Jansen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Cubs are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Cubs are 27-12 (.692) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .862.
The Cubs are 19-7 (.731) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rangers are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.
The Rangers are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Rangers are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .862.
The Rangers are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .364 (767 PA’s) with bases empty this season — best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .378 (477 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .823 (477 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .284 (788 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging just .278 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
The Rangers are batting just .198 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .561 (354 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .308 at home this season — lowest in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (213.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Cubs have allowed 3.52 runs per game (81/23) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.
The Rangers have allowed 3.06 runs per game (49/16) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.81 (144.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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