Cubs vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 18

Cincinnati Reds' Spencer Steer runs while flying out during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Houston Astros, Friday, June 16, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Eric Christian Smith)
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  • The Cubs are -135 favorites vs the Reds
  • Cubs vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cubs / Reds TV Channel: MARQ | RDTV

The Chicago Cubs (-135) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+110) on September 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cubs are 85-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 77-74 ATS.

Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 6-7, 2.86 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 15-3, 2.82 ERA

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +125O 8.5 +100-135
Reds +1.5 -155U 8.5 -120+110

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+13.10 Units / 187% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Pedro Ramirez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.25 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+18.20 Units / 182% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.40 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 50% ROI)
  • TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 away games (+14.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+13.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+13.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 23 games (+13.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+4.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (+1.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 73-78 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -0.7% ROI).

  • 85-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -0.85% ROI
  • 85-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.4 Units / 9.13% ROI
  • 64-85 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.85 Units / -17.15% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 77-74 against the Run Line (-15.4 Units / -7.34% ROI).

  • 71-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -4.3% ROI
  • 80-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 2.28% ROI
  • 69-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.65 Units / -11.12% ROI

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are 30-35 (.462) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 6-61 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 33-18 (.647) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Reds (26th in runs scored).

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are 7-74 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Reds are just 30-41 (.423) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Reds are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .340 (6,026 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .368 (620 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .350 (1,604 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .800 (1,604 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .207 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .227 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 22 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have won 35% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.80 (431.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (3,872 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.