Cubs vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 17

Chicago White Sox's Andrew Benintendi adjusts his helmet while standing on third base during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Phoenix, Monday, Feb. 26, 2024.
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
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  • The Cubs are -135 favorites vs the White Sox
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The Chicago Cubs (-135) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+110) on May 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Cubs are 29-17 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 25-19 ATS.

Cubs vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 4-2, 4.65 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 0-4, 3.80 ERA

Cubs vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +125O 8.5 +100-135
White Sox +1.5 -150U 8.5 -120+110

Cubs vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Matt Shaw has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+10.65 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Colson Montgomery has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Drew Romo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+14.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 21-25 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -7.75% ROI).

  • 29-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 13.15% ROI
  • 26-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 10.89% ROI
  • 19-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -18.78% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 25-19 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -2.36% ROI).

  • 23-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 11.7% ROI
  • 26-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 10.67% ROI
  • 19-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -19.58% ROI

White Sox vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Munetaka Murakami +200
Colson Montgomery +310
Mike Busch +320
Ian Happ +350
Seiya Suzuki +360

White Sox vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sam Antonacci 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Mike Busch 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alex Bregman 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Colson Montgomery 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

White Sox vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colson Montgomery 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ian Happ 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Drew Romo 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Cubs are 8-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .633.

The Cubs are 23-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Cubs are 19-4 (.826) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the White Sox (21st runs allowed).

The Cubs are 4-13 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The White Sox are just 4-11 (.267) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Cubs (third in runs scored).

The White Sox are just 63-18 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The White Sox are just 7-19 (.269) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 23-106 (.178) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .274 (938 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .363 (544 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .793 (914 PA’s) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .362 (914 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of .337 (479 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .676 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .408 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .444 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (213.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against White Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.