Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 16

Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Bryce Elder works against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the first inning of a baseball game, Wednesday, May 24, 2023, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
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The Arizona Diamondbacks (+105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-130) on August 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 66-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 64-58 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 8-3, 2.93 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 8-7, 4.05 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -190O 8.5 +100+105
Braves -1.5 +155U 8.5 -120-130

Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+17.80 Units / 178% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+14.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Gabriel Moreno has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Lars Nootbaar has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+16.45 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jim Jarvis has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Jim Jarvis has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 away games (+12.95 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 away games (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+7.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+13.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 67-53 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 2.75% ROI).

  • 66-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 6.62% ROI
  • 52-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -15.06% ROI
  • 66-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.4 Units / 6.92% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 64-58 against the Run Line (+13.85 Units / 9.84% ROI).

  • 73-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 5.14% ROI
  • 58-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -5.06% ROI
  • 59-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -2.79% ROI

Braves vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +240
Corbin Carroll +280
Ketel Marte +300
Ronald Acuna Jr. +325
Drake Baldwin +340

Braves vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Matt Olson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ozzie Albies 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Braves vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Waldschmidt 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Tim Tawa 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Corbin Carroll 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Diamondbacks were just 67-7 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Diamondbacks were just 61-17 (.782) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks were just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were just 7-42 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .344 (1,252 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .794 (1,252 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .300 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .551 (2,444 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Braves have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.69 (514.0 IP) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.